Re:NASA not ready for dangers of deep space, auditors say
by VLM on Monday November 23, 2015 @12:11PM
(#10615674)
Something carefully avoided in the journalist article, yet relevant, is a vaguely four year mission would naturally have a fatality rate around mission length divided by average human lifespan so a death rate around 5% would be somewhat normal. You take a vacation of 1/20th your lifespan, 1/20th of you will die.
Before the screaming starts, I am well aware this off the cuff estimate is not the pinnacle of modern actuarial science, and there are a zillion mitigating factors likely to lead to lower fatality rates.
I would be kind of pissed off at having to spend 1/20th of my lifetime mostly on a commute to a vacation, I would better tolerate spending maybe 1/40th of my life immigrating permanently somewhere. Also roughly 1/2 the cancer risk would be nice.
How much stuff you'd have to send to make it permanent vs merely 1/20th of a lifespan is somewhat unclear.
Before the screaming starts, I am well aware this off the cuff estimate is not the pinnacle of modern actuarial science, and there are a zillion mitigating factors likely to lead to lower fatality rates.
I would be kind of pissed off at having to spend 1/20th of my lifetime mostly on a commute to a vacation, I would better tolerate spending maybe 1/40th of my life immigrating permanently somewhere. Also roughly 1/2 the cancer risk would be nice.
How much stuff you'd have to send to make it permanent vs merely 1/20th of a lifespan is somewhat unclear.