Re:It's Time to Start Talking About Geoengineering
by yummyfajitas on Friday November 06, 2015 @08:04AM
(#10519209)
The cheaper geoengineering proposal is emission of sulfur particles into the stratosphere - i.e., the sunlight reflecting portion of a volcano. I don't recall the cost estimates, but they were drastically lower than $4T.
Re:It's Time to Start Talking About Geoengineering
by kragen on Friday November 06, 2015 @04:45PM
(#10522264)
You mean sulfate — the sulfur in the volcano oxidizes when it hits air at lava temperatures, if it wasn't oxidized already. That's what I was referring to with "stratospheric acid". It's true that it would be cheaper, but we're talking about the equivalent of one Krakatoa eruption every couple of years, for centuries. Nothing like that has happened since the advent of life on earth, so although it might work and be safe, or it might have unexpected and undesired effects, for example due to sulfuric acid in rain.
Re:It's Time to Start Talking About Geoengineering
by eru on Friday November 06, 2015 @08:06AM
(#10519217)
> [...] it's a project of a size comparable to the entire existing energy industry, so it would need to be supported by the full influence of the current Establishment. It clearly cannot be done as a market-driven project.
Those two things are not exclusive. The `Establishment' needs to set up the regulation and incentives right (eg a proper price for carbon), and then the market can get to work.
That is, unless Keith's analysis is wrong, low-risk geoengineering to completely remediate current CO₂ emissions is clearly economically feasible, but not as a skunkworks project — it's a project of a size comparable to the entire existing energy industry, so it would need to be supported by the full influence of the current Establishment. It clearly cannot be done as a market-driven project.
These costs, already somewhat pessimistic, should come down a bit as energy becomes cheaper with the proliferation of photovoltaic farms. Indeed, much of the operating cost is the energy used, which would have to come from non-carbon-burning sources.
Many of the other geoengineering approaches mentioned — cloud doping, ocean fertilization, stratospheric acid, space mirrors — would probably be cheaper. Unless they crash the Earth's climate system!