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A comment on A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease. Parent comment

Re:A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease by codeonfire on Thursday October 22, 2015 @05:42PM (#10435311)
That's ridiculous. That's like saying someone who wins the lottery is clairvoyant with P=0.00. I mean they got the exact right numbers which had 1 in 147 million chance, right?
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Re:A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease by exgrv on Thursday October 22, 2015 @05:50PM (#10435351)
A lot of people play the lottery. Only one person did this experiment. When you test multiple hypothesis (as in your lottery example), you need to perform a correction[2,3].

[1] https://xkcd.com/882/

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_comparisons_problem

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonferroni_correction

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Re:A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease by swsieber on Thursday October 22, 2015 @05:53PM (#10435369)
That's totally different. They didn't test a whole bunch of people a whole bunch of times. That's what the lottery is. That's different math.
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Re:A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease by codeonfire on Thursday October 22, 2015 @07:45PM (#10435943)
How do I know that? I just assume the guy that won was the only guy that played. If we can forget about all the people who ever claimed to smell disease, then we can forget about all the other lotto players.
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Re:A woman who can smell Parkinson's disease by oldmanjay on Thursday October 22, 2015 @08:13PM (#10436061)
What I find amusing here is the only intellectually honest way you have out of the logic hole you've dug is to claim that you understand neither the lottery, nor the article, which then makes your opinion on either uninformed and not terribly compelling.

Were you just advocating for the devil?

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