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Re:Subprime ‘unicorns’ that do not look a billion dollars by adventured on Saturday October 17, 2015 @02:32AM (#10403590)
Beyond the things you point out, my biggest point of skepticism on Theranos is its business and the potential value of it.

Lab Corp is worth $11 billion. With $6 billion in sales (and having generated ~$1.6 billion in profit over the last three years). The market Theranos is tackling is not as huge as some people apparently would like to think. Lab Corp is a monster in the field, and they're merely doing $11 billion. It's not an Uber situation, where a company blindsides an entire industry, and that industry stands still - Lab Corp has the resources and scale to respond to anything Theranos can do.

In the perfect scenario, Theranos is doing little more than pulling at least a decade of future returns forward at a $9 billion valuation. There's nothing they can do that will generate $6 billion in sales in the next five or six years. Their business model is partially built on neutering the high margins that companies like Lab Corp enjoy.

Re:Subprime ‘unicorns’ that do not look a billion dollars by dbcooper on Saturday October 17, 2015 @03:14AM (#10403671)
Abaxis (manufacturers of the "Piccolo" systems, which seem to be lab-on-disc based and offer point-of-care operation) are an interesting company to compare to Theranos. They seem to be able to perform small panels of assays (up to 14) on 100 µL samples [1] obtained by venipuncture.[2]

They are valued at $880M, and had ~ $200M revenue and $27M profit in the last financial year.

http://www.abaxis.com/about_us/history.html

[1] http://www.piccoloxpress.com/products/panels/function/

[2] http://www.piccoloxpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2015Revision...

Re:Subprime ‘unicorns’ that do not look a billion dollars by AndrewKemendo on Saturday October 17, 2015 @03:49PM (#10405787)
They are valued at $880M, and had ~ $200M revenue and $27M profit in the last financial year.

If they were in startup world those numbers would probably make them over $1BN in valuation.

Re:Subprime ‘unicorns’ that do not look a billion dollars by pbreit on Saturday October 17, 2015 @06:03PM (#10406325)
Only if they are growing rapidly.
Re:Subprime ‘unicorns’ that do not look a billion dollars by pbreit on Saturday October 17, 2015 @06:02PM (#10406323)
You're thinking way too small. If it works, cheap at-home testing could change all of medicine.