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Re:How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried c... by discardorama on Thursday October 15, 2015 @12:31PM (#10394124)
Why not try a backtest? Pick a point in time (say, Jan 1, 2011). Pick another data point (say, Jan 1 2015). See which variables explain the rise in house prices the best?
Re:How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried c... by Igglyboo on Thursday October 15, 2015 @12:59PM (#10394315)
Because past behavior is not indicative of future behavior.
Re:How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried c... by OrwellianChild on Thursday October 15, 2015 @01:41PM (#10394647)
If the prediction works forward, it should be backward predictive too... That's not a sufficient condition, but it is necessary to validate the predictive power, provided assumptions haven't changed in the time period being tested.
Re:How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried c... by pixl97 on Thursday October 15, 2015 @03:48PM (#10395501)
Which is why economics is not a science.
Re:How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried c... by lotyrin on Thursday October 15, 2015 @03:33PM (#10395410)
Never?