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Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Tuesday September 29, 2015 @10:53PM (#10301424)
"But even when the USA sees the light on proportional representation"

"Sees the light"? Proportional representation is far from a panacea. It tends to lead to a fragmented government (which is usually bad). It also privileges party over individual candidates (which can be good or bad, but those who dislike partisanship would certainly disapprove). There are other factors at play as well.

Most (in)famously, the Weimar Republic used PR. That didn't end well.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by dragonwriter on Tuesday September 29, 2015 @11:35PM (#10301565)
> Proportional representation is far from a panacea.

Among modern, established democracies, proportionality of representation is pretty closely linked to public satisfaction with government, and public participation with government. Its as close to a panacea for effective democracy as you could have -- which isn't surprising, proportionality of representation is a pretty direct measure of the extent to which a government is democratic.

> It tends to lead to a fragmented government (which is usually bad).

Any government in a system with a diversity of viewpoints is either going to be minoritarian or coalition based; winner take all tends to majority-of-a-majority -- which can be minoritarian -- and, whether it is that or not, tends also to involve non-overt coalition building in structuring big-tent parties. PR systems tend to be more likely to be actually majoritarian, and tend to feature explicit -- and thus more accountable -- coalition building. It doesn't lead to "fragmented" government by any meaningful measures.

Itssometimes portrayed as leading to less stable government, because in parliamentary systems its associated with more rapid turnover of government administrations/cabinets, but by another measure, it leads to more stable government, as while there is more frequent turnover of cabinets, there is more continuity between successive governments/cabinets, and more continuity in governments/cabinets over time.

> It also privileges party over individual candidates (which can be good or bad, but those who dislike partisanship would certainly disapprove).

Certain methods of achieving proportionality (e.g., party list systems) may do so; candidate-centered election methods with rules that produce proportional results (like single transferrable vote in small multimember districts) do not. In fact, such systems would do the opposite compared to the status quo system in the US, emphasizing individual candidates over party by offering more competition, even in general elections, between individual candidates even in districts with a clear majority for a single party.

> Most (in)famously, the Weimar Republic used PR. That didn't end well.

Constitutional provisions for Presidential rule-by-decree had a lot to do with that, PR -- or even the particular form of PR used by the Weimar Republic -- well, if you want to argue that that was responsible for something, then go ahead and make that argument.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:34AM (#10301988)
"Among modern, established democracies, proportionality of representation is pretty closely linked to public satisfaction with government"

When one of these "modern, established democracies" manages to maintain a stable government (or even survive) for as long as the United States has, perhaps that statement could be made.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_representation#Li...

Other than perhaps the Scandinavian countries, that's not exactly a list that makes one optimistic about stability.

Edit: "Constitutional provisions for Presidential rule-by-decree had a lot to do with that, PR -- or even the particular form of PR used by the Weimar Republic -- well, if you want to argue that that was responsible for something, then go ahead and make that argument."

See my response to the other poster below. The PR system (and the myriad of squabbling parties produced by it) led to there being no effective government for two subsequent parliamentary elections.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by samfoo on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @03:00AM (#10302246)
Of the top twenty most developed countries in the world (ranked by HDI), over half (13) have some form of proportional representation. They aren't all Scandinavian countries, though predictably many are. Which of them would you not consider a stable government?

    Y    Norway 
    Y    Australia 
    Y    Switzerland 
    Y    Netherlands 
         United States
    Y    Germany 
    Y    New Zealand 
         Canada 
         Singapore 
    Y    Denmark 
    Y    Ireland 
    Y    Sweden 
    Y    Iceland 
         United Kingdom
    Y    Hong Kong 
         South Korea 
         Japan 
    Y    Liechtenstein
    Y    Israel 
         France
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by mseebach on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @06:59AM (#10302991)
Correlation isn't causation. The best conclusion you can draw from your list is that neither PR or FPTP inherently hampers development.

> Which of them would you not consider a stable government?

Whoa, that's some strawman. The standard we're looking to prove is "proportionality of representation is pretty closely linked to public satisfaction with government".

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by icebraining on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @08:10AM (#10303298)
> Which of them would you not consider a stable government?

Whoa, that's some strawman.

No. The person who was being replied to specifically wrote about stability.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Kapow on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @11:37AM (#10304715)
>When one of these "modern, established democracies" manages to maintain a stable government (or even survive) for as long as the United States has

"Has" up to what date? Is there some set length of time they have to surpass? Or are you suggesting the US can't learn anything from other countries until after it collapses and is outlived? Seems like a moot point by then.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vacri on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @06:16AM (#10302855)
> When one of these "modern, established democracies" manages to maintain a stable government (or even survive) for as long as the United States has

That's a lovely artificial requirement you've made there. I assume this means that you think the US system of government is inferior to the UK system of government, since longevity is apparently the only requirement?

And apparently having an extremely bloody secession war counts as 'stability'? Or being at war with your neighbours for most of the first half of your life? The US lost 50% more people fighting itself than when fighting the Axis in WWII a century later.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @09:48AM (#10303890)
"That's a lovely artificial requirement you've made there."

Wanting a system of government with proven stability is not a "straw man".

"I assume this means that you think the US system of government is inferior to the UK system of government"

The UK doesn't have PR either. And no, it means nothing of the sort. My argument is that PR tends to be unstable, not that the US system is the only possible stable system.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vacri on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @02:20PM (#10305971)
No, the UK doesn't have PR, but it's a different system to the US. From what you're arguing, the US would be better off switching to their system. If you want to do it properly, you should probably import some Germanic hereditary figurehead - perhaps Schwarzenegger could start the US royal line?

Still, I like you completely sidestepped the question of how 'stability' matches up with having a civil war that was one of the bloodiest in history. You're not actually interested in finding the best form of government; you're only interested in defending your own.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @10:24PM (#10308848)
"No, the UK doesn't have PR, but it's a different system to the US."

Nice attempt to shift the goalposts. Not going to work.

Stability isn't the only goal, but it's an important one.

"Still, I like you completely sidestepped the question of how 'stability' matches up with having a civil war that was one of the bloodiest in history.

Britain had a nasty civil war also.

"You're not actually interested in finding the best form of government; "

No, because I don't believe that there is a "best" form of government. Attempting to immanentize the eschaton usually (always) winds up with a few million people dead.

I'm interested in avoiding forms of government that are demonstrably bad, based on past performance.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by spacecowboy_lon on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @06:59AM (#10302992)
But it breaks the personal link with the electorate with party placemen/insiders getting the top positions on the list.

Pr also gives to much power fringe party's eg Germany totally abandoning nukes to keep the 1 or 2 greens onside to prop up Angela's government.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by DasIch on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @09:13AM (#10303625)
What the Greens want is completely irrelevant to Merkel's government and has been for as long as she has been Bundeskanzlerin.

Abandoning nuclear energy is a widely accepted move by the majority of the population and across political parties. If anything the people wanting to keep nuclear energy, are in a minority. A minority that is not willing to risk actually advocating for nuclear energy.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by spacecowboy_lon on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @10:05AM (#10304010)
You know how much the consumer price of electricity has gone up in Germany?

And I bet until last week the German "consumer" loved diesel powered cars (and the tax benefits) and ignored the down sides of targeting CO2 vs NOX

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by nmrm2 on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @11:22AM (#10304618)
The parent's comment is accruate on the only important point here -- Germans don't like nuclear power.

The phase out of nuclear power isn't the result of a coalition trying to appease a radical fringe component. It's broadly reflective of public will in Germany.

http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Country-Profiles/Countries...

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by DasIch on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @11:19AM (#10304595)
The consumer price of electricity has gone up but that's a complex problem with many reasons behind it. Abandoning nuclear energy is not the only reason and probably one of the least important ones.

Even if it were a reason, reversing again on this topic and not abandoning nuclear power would have no impact on prices by itself. New nuclear plants would have to be built which would take decades, even if you could find locations where such a plant would be tolerated.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by dragonwriter on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:58PM (#10305803)
Breaking the link between the electorate and individual candidates/officeholders is true of party list methods which aren't the only way of achieving PR. STV in small multimember districts is just as candidate centered as FPTP methods (arguably moreso, in that there remains candidate choice within the same path preferences at the general elections.)
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by panglott on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @10:49AM (#10304351)
> proportionality of representation is pretty closely linked to public satisfaction with government, and public participation with government.

Is the causal relationship really that proportional representation drives political representation and satisfaction?

Democracies with a high level of political participation may be likelier to adopt experiments like proportional representation...and then public satisfaction is driven by the high level and effectiveness of political participation.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by davidw on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @12:52AM (#10301867)
Italy and Israel are two countries that have had very proportional systems in recent time frames.

Having lived in Italy, I am not that impressed by the politics there, and think that proportional representation with party lists is part of the problem.

I think STV is pretty interesting, but producing one winner is no bad thing either. Of course, as per Arrow, nothing is perfect.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by hackeraccount on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @10:58AM (#10304438)
How on earth can it be that yours is the only reference to Arrow?
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by davidw on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @12:40PM (#10305193)
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by eli_gottlieb on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @08:59AM (#10303546)
Having lived in Israel, its politics are often poisoned by those of the United States, but are otherwise much, much healthier than those of the United States.
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vezzy-fnord on Tuesday September 29, 2015 @11:10PM (#10301486)
It tends to lead to a fragmented government (which is usually bad).

Already the case.

It also privileges party over individual candidates

Distinction without a difference. Even if the focus is on the candidates, they're all firmly partisan with little variation.

Most (in)famously, the Weimar Republic used PR. That didn't end well.

http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/HitlerAteSugar

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:41AM (#10302006)
"http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/HitlerAteSugar"

No, that is not the point. Hitler eating sugar had nothing to do with his government. Proportional representation did. That's how he came to power. Look it up.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adolf_Hitler#Appointment_as_ch...

"Hindenburg reluctantly agreed to appoint Hitler as chancellor after two further parliamentary elections—in July and November 1932—had not resulted in the formation of a majority government."

They had large number of splinter parties, all of whom hated each other's guts, and which were unable to form an effective government. The Nazis were not a majority (no one was), but were a large, well-disciplined bloc. The rest is, as they say, history.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by taejo on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @05:50AM (#10302786)
If one reads about Weimar politics, one striking thing is how basically nobody wanted a democracy. The Communists didn't, the Nazis didn't; Von Papen, Chancellor second before Hitler, of the "Centre" Party tried to get the monarchy re-instated, and ruled Prussia effectively as a dictator. Ending democracy was basically the one thing a majority of Weimar politicians could agree on.
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by philwelch on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @09:11AM (#10303613)
A plurality of German voters voted for the Nazis. If Weimar Germany had the US or UK system of government, that plurality of voters might have given the Nazis an outright majority of seats, just as the UK Tories were recently reelected with only a plurality of the popular vote.
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vojvod on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @03:38AM (#10302365)
What alternative electoral system would have kept the Nazis out of power in spite of their huge lead in vote share in three successive elections?
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by rmc on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @04:13AM (#10302471)
The Nazis weren't too concerned with legalities
Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by nickff on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:42AM (#10302010)
I am not sure what to make of your first point, as it is not clear that we (HN) have a common understanding of what is meant by "fragmented". Is it a government which does not pass laws or spend money on specific programs which different groups oppose for varying reasons, or would that be a unified opposition? Would fragmented government pass a great many laws and spending programs with no unified goal, to appease disparate interest groups, or would this be a coalition?

>Distinction without a difference. Even if the focus is on the candidates, they're all firmly partisan with little variation.

Does it matter whether the politicians are partisans unified in party goals? It seems that in the USA, politicians frequently go against their own parties, relative to other countries. Is partisanship in favour of non-party aligned interest groups part of what you perceive as a problem? Please describe a non-partisan politician, party, or system.

Lastly, I think we can all agree that a single anecdote does not make the case for or against the PR system, though it does show that PR is not a sufficient condition for stable and everlasting democracy.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by saalweachter on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @10:12AM (#10304074)
The rigid party discipline of the Republican party (in Congress) is starting to look like a temporary aberration. It was caused by a period of unusually strong party control over campaign finances. For a couple of decades there, Congressional leaders were able to strongly prevent Congressmen from being re-elected if they bucked the party.

Ironically, I suspect SuperPACs are contributing to the decay of Republican cohesion -- the party has lost its strong control over re-election. At this point the only thing Republicans in Congress can agree upon is that they dislike anything they suspect a Democrat -- especially the President -- of liking.

As for Democrats, Will Roger's famous quote is something like "I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat."

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by _ak on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:46AM (#10302023)
> Most (in)famously, the Weimar Republic used PR. That didn't end well.

Just look at the fixes the German Federal Republic put into place in 1949. That turns out to work quite well, allowing party plurality while still maintaining effective coalitions.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by hackerboos on Tuesday September 29, 2015 @11:13PM (#10301500)
The European Union, Ireland and Scottish local elections elections use a PR voting system.

Germany and New Zealand use MMR in some of their elections.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vacri on Tuesday September 29, 2015 @11:55PM (#10301635)
> It tends to lead to a fragmented government (which is usually bad)

The stalemate of the past two terms in the US doesn't say much for winner-takes-all.

> It also privileges party over individual candidates

Only depending on the proportional rep type. But again, in the US, there are only two parties. Very rarely you might glimpse an independent, but they mean nothing in the overall political landscape. There is no functional way for another party to rise in the current political system in the US - so party is inherently privileged over individuals.

> Most (in)famously, the Weimar Republic used PR. That didn't end well.

Ah, you're just trolling.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by ClayShentrup on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @12:06AM (#10301675)
Or more sophisticated analysis of the pros and cons of PR.

http://scorevoting.net/PropRep.html

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vacri on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @12:53AM (#10301874)
"PR gave you Nazis!" isn't a sophisticated analysis.

Edit: chock full of nazis, apparently: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_representation#Li...

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:47AM (#10302026)
"The stalemate of the past two terms in the US doesn't say much for winner-takes-all."

You think it's bad with two parties who can't agree on anything? Try twenty parties who can't agree on anything.

"Ah, you're just trolling."

No, I certainly am not trolling. The multitude of parties in the Weimar Republic, which could not form an effective government for two entire election cycles, were directly responsible for Hitler's rise to power.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by vacri on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @01:58AM (#10302052)
> Try twenty parties who can't agree on anything.

What, multipolar politics, like modern Germany or Sweden or Australia? Wealthy, socially progressive countries with high standards of living?

You're just spreading FUD. PR was one of a great many factors involved in the rise of Hitler, but keep in mind that the US system also let a president get elected that didn't win the popular vote, who then went on to destroy a foreign country to drum up domestic political support. Literally hundreds of thousands of people died in Iraq to make Bush more popular in the US, despite Iraq having nothing to do with threats to the US. But it would be stupid to say that the US electoral system was directly responsible for the Iraqi bloodbath.

And as I say in the other comment, there are a shitload of countries using PR that aren't fascists.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by Turing_Machine on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @09:35AM (#10303799)
"What, multipolar politics, like modern Germany"

Modern Germany does not have PR. For good reason.

" PR was one of a great many factors involved in the rise of Hitler, but keep in mind that the US system also let a president get elected that didn't win the popular vote"

The U.S. President has never been elected by popular vote. Again, for good reason. Feature, not bug.

Re:Gerrymandering and a cure for it – the shortest splitline... by dragonwriter on Wednesday September 30, 2015 @11:26AM (#10304636)
Modern Germany hasPR via a mixed member proportional (MMP) system -- which, IIRC, was a German innovation when introduced; it doesn't have straight party-list PR, but then the more proportional system for the US proposed upthread isn't party-list PR, either. Proportionality is a (really, continuous valued, not binary) outcome, there are a number of systems for achieving it to a greater or lesser extent.