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Re:Forecasting is a talent – luckily it can be learned by blumkvist on Friday September 25, 2015 @05:54AM (#10277177)
You most certainly cannot dissever talent from the rest of the variables.

Field studies? Pp-lee-ase. Take that voodoo science somewhere else. Field studies' purpose is not to give answers but to definite more concrete questions. To serve as a starting point for a controlled experiment and that might be impossible, like in this case. Just because some professor says something, that doesn't mean he is correct. There is more falsification in psychology than in nutrition and medicine and that certainly says something. A lot, if not the overwhelming majority of psychology researchers do not understand p-values and simple theory-hypothesis construction, let a alone the structural equation modeling menu dialogues in SPSS they click on. All they have is theories. No, not like gravity. More like Jesus and Muhammad - unsubstantiated theories.

I read a metric ton of psychographic research because of my job, which is in quantitative marketing research.

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