Re:The sleeping beauty paradox
by lxw on Tuesday September 01, 2015 @06:44AM
(#10151616)
the betting argument is not the same as what is being discussed.
to a halver, the likelihood of heads and tails are still each 1/2, but the expected winnings of betting tails would of course be larger.
it would be like saying i'll flip a coin, and if you guess correctly that it's tails i'll give you a million dollars. obviously i will guess that it's tails, even though i still believe each outcome is equally likely.
to a halver, the likelihood of heads and tails are still each 1/2, but the expected winnings of betting tails would of course be larger.
it would be like saying i'll flip a coin, and if you guess correctly that it's tails i'll give you a million dollars. obviously i will guess that it's tails, even though i still believe each outcome is equally likely.