”didn’t base their claim on nothing”
Actually, they didn’t claim anything, and only talked about unconfirmed reports (https://twitter.com/TorontoPolice/status/635816932474814464, http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ashley-madison-hack-2-...)
That's about 1% of 30 million, or about 0.1/day, or 3 weeks for those 2 suicides. I bet any deviation from the average isn't statistically significant (in fact, for 2 suicides, ¿almost? no 'background' suicide level will be statistically significant)
On the other hand, I do expect that Canadian police didn't base their claim on nothing. Chances are they found suicide notes, or something similar.