Re:Commodities Are Crashing Like It's 2008 All Over Again
by evanpw on Thursday August 06, 2015 @04:41PM
(#10019304)
I actually agree with you; I was just poking fun at the "high price good, low price bad" tone of the article. Notice the author's apparent relief that a few commodities have "managed to stay out of the bear market" because of bad weather and supply problems.
Re:Commodities Are Crashing Like It's 2008 All Over Again
by crdb on Thursday August 06, 2015 @09:36PM
(#10020503)
I've found it's more "high price bad, low price bad". Bull markets come with Malthusian predictions and really strong ones with pictures of the fuel lines in the 1970s.
Re:Commodities Are Crashing Like It's 2008 All Over Again
by Hermel on Thursday August 06, 2015 @04:38PM
(#10019265)
That's the right question to ask. As far as I can tell, the answer is: both - depending on the comnodity. For oil, it is mainly increased supply. For steel, coal, copper and co. it is probably rather a lack of demand.
Re:Commodities Are Crashing Like It's 2008 All Over Again
by leereeves on Friday August 07, 2015 @02:00AM
(#10021104)
Oil is a portion of the price of every other commodity. They all require energy to extract/produce and transport.
Re:Commodities Are Crashing Like It's 2008 All Over Again
by tomp on Friday August 07, 2015 @04:45AM
(#10021464)
There's a third option - there's less speculation now that there was before. AFAIK, most commodities can be paper-traded as well - meaning that traders can buy and sell futures that are not physically settled, but only pay out the current spot price. - i.e. pure speculation. Is it possible that speculators stopped betting on the ever increasing prices of raw materials?
Increased supply should be good for economy as the increased supply of raw mats cause increased production of higher grade goods.
Decreased demand on the other hand indicates that something is wrong. People are not buying anymore. Can't they afford it any longer? Or or they decreasing production due to anticipated lower demand for their higher grade goods?