vertak
Ray Dalio has a bit in his latest book Changing World Order where he points out what nations/empires in the past have done when faced with similar situations that the US now finds itself in. When debt is high, and country fundamentals are decreasing (like internal stability, and global share of economic output) countries can either buckle down and take the austerity measures required to increase output + decrease the debt… or they can print more money to pay off the debt which leads to inflation. They almost always choose to print money.
Get rdy for some events that haven’t happened in earnest for around 80 years.
That being said, I read through the counterpoint article and found it pretty hollow. In fact it seems to strengthen my belief that Sapiens is a valuable book. I kept expecting the author to point out where Harari’s assertions were wrong, but each section more or less boiled down to Harari is either not funny or not clever. The author even contradicts his article’s own thesis partway through:
“Nonetheless, his version of human history involves moral judgments that suggest he is not so thoroughly reductionist, or as cynical about the human condition, as he appears to be at first glance.“
+1 for Harari
I had this same question a couple years back when I read this stat, so I messaged the Cornell Lab Ornithology and one of their reps explained how these numbers make sense.
“We start with a population of breeding adult birds at the beginning of the year. They breed, and multiply, and then the population is "spent" throughout the year on deaths such as window strikes, pesticide poisoning, and cat kills. If the population could keep up with these deaths, we would see a net loss of zero. Unfortunately, instead, we are seeing less and less breeding adult birds at the beginning of each year.
So when we say "we've lost 2.9 Billion birds," what we really mean is, "We've seen a net loss of 2.9 billion breeding adult birds since the 1970's." Back in the 1970's, the breeding season started with about 13 billion adult birds. This year, we had about 10 billion. Throughout the year, they multiply to about 40 billion before they die back. Of that 40 billion, cats kill 2.5 billion.”
This site gives several survey findings related to medical bankruptcy. The data is complex and conflicting at times (like you would expect given something as complex as 300+ million people’s healthcare) but the number that the stats seem to fluctuate around is 1 million people. 1 million people declare bankruptcy a year due to medical-related costs. That’s 0.333% per year.
So there are a lot of people (1 million if you believe the data in that link) per year being affected by this.
I am a longtime smart contract developer who has been burned by Solidity’s downsides so I am excited about new EVM languages. I’ve read the Fe README, the announcement blog post, and the Uniswap v2 examples, but still have no concrete set of improvements over Solidity that I can point to. Maybe it’s just because things are still early, but from 15 minutes looking at Fe it still seems like Solidity but this a Pythonic syntax. As a Solidity dev, I want to see concretely how Fe improves on my existing smart contract language.
Thank you for pushing the frontier on smart contract development! I feel we’re in the very beginning of smart contract development and languages like Fe can be the path towards preventing tons of these hacks we see every week.
You both seem to be solving similar problems.
This article from 2009 addresses the lower age estimates from the 1980’s era, saying reactors could last for 80 years or even more.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nuclear-power-pla...
Anyway, good luck with your project it is very interesting and I'm sure you'll learn a lot!
Can anyone suggest a good online course, textbook, or article to get started understanding and working (via some simulation software so it’s cheap!) on FPGAs?
Even if it is true though, is it worth the total loss of hope that would accompany the resignation to the endless night? To me it seems worth the ups and downs of hope and defeat, if only that it promises some points of positive change whereas if you resign yourself to unwellbeing then you will limit the positive upswings you’ll experience.
Either way, it should be acknowledged that there is a small minority for whom these techniques are but an Advil to a splitting migraine.
I’ve had my own hupomnemata for 3 years now, ever since I started working remotely and myanager asked me to keep a log of my daily doings. It’s like having a 1 Second A Day app, but for your thoughts.
Also, this article was a good read but ended up fluffifying towards the end. For a good counter to the article’s thesis, give this a read: https://fs.blog/2012/08/aphorisms-and-the-commodification-of...
I bet this was terribly useless for you, but for the wider set of readers here its near impossible to generalize as you have done.
I haven’t dived deep to search for “here was my job search” stories and I’ve probably read fewer than 5 such posts on HN over the years I’ve been lurking here. However I appreciated this one for its candid sharing of the numbers (number of applications, rejections, etc.) and his resume + cover letters. Unless you are some interview god/goddess who has seen all the resumes there are to see, it’s valuable to see different ways of approaching the job search.
I’m currently on the job hunt myself and have bookmarked this article for a reread.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narcissism_of_small_differen...
https://github.com/rust-embedded/cross/
I can't find any iOS related directories in their list of targets but there are a couple issues related to supporting apple platforms.
Several years ago I signed up to follow 3 politicians I cared about using this site https://www.govtrack.us/. Give it a try, and I think you'll see the deluge of laws, bills, and opinions is too much for a mere mortal mind with a 9-5.
I think this is why we talk about congresspersons' army of staffers and interns. You would not want a single person trying to deal with the complexity of all this information they need to have an informed opinion on in order to vote for/against.
https://media4.manhattan-institute.org/sites/default/files/t...
I'm not economist but I've found this captures the feeling that although we're more productive and wealthier, it still feels harder to get ahead and live an average life.
I’ve often thought that attaching a price to meetings would help prompt the question of why this meeting is worth $X of the company’s dime. At the very least it would decrease needless invitees and give some ammunition to the call for higher value meetings.