twien

Reminds me of this part from Taleb:

"Assume that a coin is fair, i.e., has an equal probability of coming up heads or tails when flipped. I flip it ninety-nine times and get heads each time. What are the odds of my getting tails on my next throw? 2

Dr. John refers to the question as trivial and gives the mathematically correct answer of one half. Fat Tony calls Dr. John a sucker and says, “no more than 1 percent, of course … the coin gotta be loaded.”"

The point being, what are the odds of getting an artifact of statistics precisely when management is harrassing employees to get rid of them from payroll?