trasneoir

"[Engineers] tend to overestimate what can be done in the short-term and underestimate what will be done in the long-term."

I'd expect level 5 autonomy to be slow, because level 4 delivers 80% of the benefits for 20% of the cost.

BUT "never" seems crazy unless you've got a very pessimistic outlook on humanity's medium-term future. Other than extinction or the collapse of civilization, what could cause it to "never" happen?

I'd quibble with the price point - economies of scale can reduce the cost of nuclear pretty dramatically.

That said, I've got no problem with it in principle. Pricing externalities properly seems the simplest way to solve the tragedy of the commons, but it's complicated in this case by the fact that climate is a _global_ commons.

A revenue-neutral carbon tax would make it a more manageable political lift. AFAIK the US is the only country to have "solved" the bigger political problem of long-term nuclear waste storage?

Support for nuclear power has become my acid-test. If somebody is serious about making urgent and effective change, fission has to be on the table.

Volume is the key to price - we need an internationally-vetted medium-sized design, with a supply chain that can crank out hundreds of complete "just add concrete" systems per year.

As well as improving up-front costs, a ubiquitous design makes training and maintenance easier. This should improve the operation of these systems safer and cheaper.

Some designs currently in use, if catastrophically mismanaged, yes.

OTOH, some newer designs (eg LFTR) are walk-away safe: Nuclear explosions/meltdowns are physically impossible short of deliberate sabotage.

These studies compare short-term results of reduced fat vs reduced carbohydrate diets.

I don't see how they relate to glucose vs fructose?

It seems clear that bots will dominate humans in many/most competitive closed-world games over the next couple of years:

They are already unbeatable in perfect-information games like Chess and Go. They could crush human motor racers tomorrow.

They will be unbeatable in games with limited information (Dota/Starcraft) within months.

The next frontier is donkey-space games like rps, poker and day-trading (https://universalpaperclips.gamepedia.com/Donkey_Space) where they are already beating pros. It may be another couple of years before they totally dominate here.

We can afford to manage risk, but not eliminate it. If we allow safety to rule us completely, we invite regulatory capture and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_flag_traffic_laws