throwu2728828

Seems inevitable once multi-modal reasoning 10x's everything. You don't even need robotics, just attach it to a headset Manna-style. All skilled blue collar work instantly deskilled. You see why I feel like I'm in a bind?

Why? It feels like the spade of advancements post-o1 are shattering all remaining roadblocks to AGI.

Thats the point.

EVERYTHING is upturned. "All other things solved" includes robotics. It's a 10x everywhere.

The scenario that is worrying is having to deal with the jagged frontier of intelligence prolonging the hurt. i.e

202X: SWE is solved

202X + Y; Y<3: All other fields solved.

In this case, I can't retrain before the second threshold but also can't idle. I just have to suffer. I'm prepared to, but it's hard to escape fleshy despair.

I really want this to be true, but honestly it's really hard. What makes you think this won't be eaten too within the next year based on the current s-curve-if-not-exponential we are on?

I'm a student, so all pivots have a minimum delta of 2 years, which is something like a 100x on current capabilities on the seemingly steep s-curve we are on. That drives my "gloom" (in practice I've placed my hope in something eternal rather than a fickle thing like this)

Re-skill to what? Everything is going to be upturned and/or solved by the time I could even do a pivot. There's no point at all now, I can only hold onto Christ.

Student. Same conclusion. I don't even know what to do anymore. Not enough ideas or interest to get into LLMs before they frankly left the station completely. Can't reskill into anything, by the time I do it'll be upturned by GenAI too. Robotics will be solved by the time I would be able to become a researcher.

I've reached this state of low-grade depair about it all. It's like I'm being constricted at all times. Ended up placing my faith in Christ which I think is my only source of hope now, that there is some joy beyond this broken world. It's rough.