silphe

Might not a full-blown bankruptcy. Rather, a slow march into irrelevancy.

I look at their publications list: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/research-area/medic...

With all due respects, the claim of the article is overblown. Those are the kind of articles a very good department would publish, nothing special or game changing.

The ranking puts German growth prediction to be almost zero while Japan's to be 2.8? I call this rubbish. Both countries were in the last years demographically pretty similar.

Both countries are however diverging pretty swiftly. While productivity in Japan was falling it was increasing in Germany. Moreover the recent development showed that Germany was making gains in demographics with higher birth rate and net migrations. Japan on the other hand was falling in recession several times in the last 5 years alone. Even without extrapolating the current trend, it is obvious that Japan would not do much with regard to its demographics while Germany's demographics is actually changing very quickly (and rather favorably).