sabj
What if I ask it to replace every vowel in the secret code with an emoji from a library? Or translate it into binary? Etc.
Whether or not this implementation is narrow (by design), there's a good reason to invest in this kind of safety and security space.
Now, for CorpDev, a conversation about investment is always a sliding scale... n% (invest) <--> 100% (buy you). But whether it's from the corporate balance sheet or as a referral to the corporate VC arm, there can be value there, and value in the relationship building, depending on circumstances.
As with so much, the risk is not knowing what you want and getting carried along by the process -- lettings things "happen" to you. If you have a conversation with corpdev, you're trading some information and receiving some information. Is that ride worth the price of admission? You have to decide based on the circumstances. This piece has an edge that helps to provoke and draw attention to the themes (don't let others shape the narrative of your business engagement) and that's fine.
There are places and indicators that a CorpDev conversation is 200% M&A, and there are times when it has more BizDev dimensions. Many companies want to develop partnerships first to determine if a potential acquisition is accretive. And, those partnerships can actually be valuable to small companies, even if there have tricky strings that can trip you up. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
This is one reason why U.S. trains have (relatively) 'harsher' requirements than other countries where track is not shared to such a high extent.
Separately, this degree of track-sharing is one of the reasons why average passenger rail journey speed has decreased in many places over a 100-year time period!
Obviously, in both cases, there are many many factors involved - but, an important element.
I always felt that travel search was a big pain point that I was invested in solving. It also has some very obnoxious data lockdowns after scale. Anyone here have a ready blueprint for some great resources to test and hack around different travel search and booking engines with helpful APIs? I know some offer odds and ends...
Everything is running extremely sluggishly for me right now - including the wingtip time reported on the page? - dunno if HN is a contributor but FYI! Totally unusable even vs. doing month-wide ITA Matrix searches.
But people very, very commonly fail to see the embedded social factors in technologies, and are very quick to ascribe autonomy to technology, which is in my mind fallacious. You see this when the news has stories like, "Technology just keeps advancing. How will it change our lives next?" instead of understanding it as part of a relationship between people, their environment, and their artifacts, technology gets put on some magical self-propelling trajectory that just isn't true. Yes, Moore's Law is great - but it's a social/human driver, as is Intel's Tick-Tock, not something innate in technology!
The points that Taleb is making here are best discussed, not by considering technology as artifact alone, but technology for what it really is - a set of artifacts, systems, processes, and artifices that take place in a social milieu and as a two-way relationship with society and civilization. To think otherwise is naive folly, from my perspective. (Please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_construction_of_technolo... for a primer on this, it's fun reading if you're unfamiliar).
Technophiles (myself included!) will often project things out because they fail to understand that technology does NOT just show up and leave an imprint on the world, deus ex machina style. Instead the world shapes technology back. You can see this for any kind of technology, from the bicycle (Bijker's famous example, shown in the wikipedia article) to the Internet, which has its present design because of the real fears / threats / motivations that abounded during its establishment.
It's the (mostly) impossible nature of this dis-entanglement that throws people off track. In some world of scientist-kings of technocratic technophile dictatorships, yes, we'd have moon bases by now. But that's not how it works, and as a result people - messy, annoying humanity - get in the way. For better or, for often, worse.
The future WILL be cool - I'm still an optimist. But it will be cool in different ways, and maybe for different reasons, than many here on HN might imagine.
Since this thread is already a bit long let me instead just close with a great quote that I reference often. Relevant here.
The plain message physical science has for the world at large is this, that were our political and social and moral devices only as well contrived to their ends as a linotype machine, an antiseptic operating plant, or an electric tram-car, there need now at the present moment be no appreciate toil in the world, and only the smallest fraction of the pain, the fear, and the anxiety that now makes human life so doubtful in its value. There is more than enough for everyone alive. Science stands, a too competent servant, behind her wrangling underbred masters, holding out resources, devices, and remedies they are too stupid to use. – H.G. Wells, A Modern Utopia (1904)
If it's a foolhardy or hubristic attempt to grab imagined profits without consideration for carrier and other channel and customer obstacles, well... I'd regret the untimely / early demise of an innovative platform.
I think the most poignant section was this:
>A deal had been struck. Deng had promised the Chinese people material wealth they hadn’t known for centuries on the condition that they never again asked for political change. The Party said: “Trust us and everything will be all right.” >Twenty years later, everything is not all right.
But I would disagree with the overarching theme that the problem of an ascendant China / China in general / etc. is that China is too inward-looking, that "You'll never be Chinese." I know you'll never be Japanese, but I think China and its people and culture are quite different; I didn't spend as much time living in China or studying Chinese as the author, but in that time and in my experiences I think there is a lot more interest and openness of people (and many elites) than is given credit.
Unfortunately, there are huge structural and institutional barriers too...
a) SpaceX appears more specifically to be looking for rocket engineers, etc, a background I do not have. (Good business / analytics / etc, but, a rocket engineer I am not). This problem likely applies to Planetary Resources as well. However...
b) Planetary Resources is more directly aligned with the mission I find most important - SpaceX is doing great things, and Elon Musk is super cool for insisting on his goal of making humans a multi-planetary species, but that's still a ways out. I don't know that I'd have as much ability to contribute. It's for this reason I've been trying to gain skills that would be of greater value down the line (business ones, in particular) in order to do what's necessary to help run and grow a commercial space venture.
c) I actually asked Elon Musk something on the subject - 'What advice do you have for people interested in getting involved early in these kinds of capital-intensive but world-changing businesses' and his answer was that, of course, it's helpful to have a few $100MMs from something like an internet company first :)
If any of them are reading, or anyone here knows them, I would do anything to get involved in this effort; the development and exploration of space is the most important mission in human history, and I'd love to put to work my business expertise, youthful energy, and eagerness to contribute... I'm well credentialed but more importantly extremely passionate!
I can imagine many reasons, but I'd be interested to hear from you why you chose to share these numbers at this time?
For, as in the case of YC, the success is first and foremost attributable to the participants - and whatever other value there may be is easily confounded and exaggerated. The only fair way to establish a comparison is to consider those who were accepted to YC, but chose not to enroll, for whatever reason. This is reasonably clear when X is 1300 students a year, harder when it's less than 100 startups.
Anyway, a rather belabored way of saying that the higher education comparison may be accurate... but not necessarily in the way that you think!
I traditionally gravitate towards nice analog watches and nothing else, the slimmer and less outrageous the better. If I were to buy something else, I might consider something zanier - like a watch that only told me the cycle of the moon - but I'm not sure what kind of statement I want to make. I find myself therefore caught in between two worlds of watch-wearing...
Personally, if I were to get a new watch (I haven't worn one in years, and am a current college student) I'd want a nice analog watch - digital watches are quite passe, unless you go extremely avant-garde, in which case they're rather much of a statement.
A more relevant question is not whether graduates of certain school do or do not make more, but rather, what causes them to do so. And analysis of students who were admitted to such elite schools, but chose to matriculate elsewhere, shows that on the basis of income alone they had very similar success outcomes. Only for very-lower-income students was there a noticeable advantage to attending the elite school, where this metric is concerned.
Thus, the important factor is the "type of student," not the "type of school." This is borne out in their conclusions as well:
"Consistent with the past literature, we find a positive and significant effect of the return to college selectivity during a student’s prime working years in regression models that do not adjust for unobserved student quality for cohorts that entered college in 1976 and 1989 using administrative earnings data from the SSA’s Detailed Earnings Records. Based on these same regression specifications, we also find that the return to selectivity increases over the course of a student’s career. However, after we adjust for unobserved student characteristics, the return to college selectivity falls dramatically. For the 1976 cohort, the return to school-SAT score for the full sample is always indistinguishable from zero when we control for the average SAT score of the colleges that students applied to in order to control for omitted student variables."
Furthermore, I would importantly mention that while these studies are valuable, they do ignore significant changes in the nature of student bodies, labor markets, and educational institutions since the original cohorts are first observed; their findings can't fairly be 100% extrapolated onto current populations.
I could go more into the weeds here, but I think it is not ultimately necessary. Interesting paper, I think less exciting than the works it cites in its introduction, but still quite neat.
TL;DR = Schools don't matter; students do.
I also found that when I was in China for a while in 2009, the 12 hour time different made America feel very, very far away, and things seemed even stranger and weirder as a result - but maybe that was just me. It made things seem feel out of touch not only by distance, but time as well.
These caveats aside, there are plenty of awful things going on in the USA right now, and huge systemic problems which are unfortunately not being approached in serious fashions. This being said, it's level of 'broken-ness' is probably not particularly greater than it was, say, last year, or the year before.
True, but I think there is a strong consensus that giant Toblerone bars may not offer the best ergonomics :)
This snark aside, there are some interesting ideas presented here, but the form factor and other aspects of the phone would present challenges to me right now. But always great to see new ideas -- go forth and innovate, peoples of the internets.
(Aside: if you're reading this and work for a cell phone manufacturer, happy to offer totally unsolicited consulting. It'd be fun, my rates are reasonable, and I'm hip to the Youth Jive. Promise!)
This said, some theoretical answers to your question (I am not an attorney, and none of this is anything beyond my conjecture): http://www.irs.gov/businesses/small/article/0,,id=98277,00.h...
http://www.corp.delaware.gov/paytaxes.shtml
If you search on Bing/Blekko/Google/Wherever for 'CPA ___[your current city]____' you'll find some good resources. Well worth the investment in time.
I would love to put my resume into LaTeX, if I had a simple way to do so. Unfortunately, it would be a pretty painful process, and not something for which I have currently budgeted the time. I will check out some of these templates and frameworks mentioned in the future. For now, though, since I haven't even started my new job yet, not an especially urgent project : )
More importantly, I have neither the funds nor the space for such a magnificent work. Myhrvold + Company: please disregard my above comments about Intellectual Ventures, and if you're reading this, please know that I would be honored to review your work...
While it is true that this kind of retirement savings is to some extent dependent upon good timing, what is clear is that if you have any ability to put compound interest to work - and I think that is relatively fair - it is much better to start early.
Even moderate rates of return will produce this kind of effect, and in that regard, I think it is a highly effective demonstration.