rel2thr
Programmers just moved up a level , not dumber, we are now managers of a team of 'agent' programmers. The deliverable is now a functionality instead of a specific block of code
You have to change the organization.
- no peer code review, u review the AI output and that’s enough
- devs need authority to change code anywhere in the company. No more team A owns service A and team B owns service B
- every dev and ops person needs to be colocated, no more waiting for timezones
- PMs and engineers are the same role now
Will it work for every company? No , if you are building a pacemaker , don’t use AI . Will things break? Yes sometimes but you can roll back.
Will things be somewhat chaotic? Yes somewhat but what did you think going 10x would feel like?
Now this solution might not even use an LLM , it existed pre-chatgpt , but I think the word of mouth of chatgpt and AI is causing business people to seek out automations where they would normally hire.
That being said , its kind of the golden era of live poker right now. Games are growing everywhere.
After 2 years it’s clear Ukraine can’t win without outside countries committing troops and risking lives and it’s just not with it for us so we have to cut ties and make a deal
If I was a local I would want to stop immigration until supply + demand equilibriated around USA levels.
I never have found a need for them. i.e. the example in the article Just prompting like:
Write hello 3 different ways in spanish works fine for me
post-covid people are more hesitant to send their kids to school slightly sick or when there are sick siblings / parents in the household.
- run some simulations and discover a superconductor
- then write up a paper on it ( the paper has some gaps but humans take it and run with it)
- human technology and computing power rapidly accelerates.
- the rogue AI's powers increase exponentially
If your company is smaller and has software devs, ask them for tasks
If not, just start coding things to automate your tasks or make things easier or grow new business lines
After 4-6 months of this, ask for a title change to software developer .
Then your job search will be easier as you will have real world experience and check a lot more boxes on resume screens
Apply as a data analyst, theres no leetcoding, you just need to demonstrate sql knowledge and experience working with the business. And faang data analysts are paid as much as many non-faang engineers.
Once you are in, you will be working with engineers, just do a good job, and express interest in working on the software team. The bar will be much much lower than an external candidate.
I would say 20-25% of engineers at these companies come from a non-traditional route like this.
Those middleman roles would not be being cut by this, those roles will continue until the large company stops paying
How does that look in practice? In most companies it seems that means that under-represented people get green lighted at the resume screen step at a much higher percentage than over-represented people. But the bar is the same at the interview stage.
But don't you see how that is a big dis-advantage for the median over-represented applicant?
The middle ground that sundar took is weird
I really don’t get the purpose of such a small layoff. Kills employee morale and doesn’t move the needle on costs
Twitter has done over a billion in revenue in each of the past several quarters
If you are making faang salary, say $400k, thats more than enough to be totally financially independent in 10 years if you stay the course even in a high cost of living area. At least independent enough to give your kids a good life and education.
You might want to look at your expenses if you are having trouble building wealth on that amount.
If trend continues it seems we should be back in normal yoy inflation rates shortly once we start comparing against that post spike floor
You only have to pay 5% of your disposable income to your student debt. These parents with parent plus loans are going to be fine with that
In fact that’s a loophole that some are talking about that by will make college very cheap for middle class parents at the right life stage. Parents take out a big loan for their kids and then retire so their income becomes very low and the 5% payment becomes almost nothing and then after 10-20 years the remaining balance is totally forgiven
Earnings from google and other profitable tech companies have been really good
There are some layoffs but really only in companies that over hired
This is a very mild downturn , not doomsday
Its pretty baffling to me why we don't do ultrasounds a lot more than we currently do them. Recently went down the rabbit hole of childhood cancers and there are so many that can be detected and treated earlier if ultrasounds were a standard practice at every check up.
The rationale for not doing it seems to be just cost , and its likely you dont have cancer. But if you do , I would sure like to know early!