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rate_ofchange

> The speed at which AlphaStar overtook previous AIs seems to me to be nearly unprecedented in AI research

In pretty much any field, top performing humans are at the physical limitation level, you will not see any sort of breakthrough, just incremental improvement.

Machines on the other side, can be scaled arbitrarily. Once you've built a small crane, you can build even increasing ones, it's just a function of money and interest.

Some say that intelligence is not like that, that it can't be scaled arbitrarily. But the burden of proof is on them, especially given the consequences if it can.