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prolly_a_moron

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @03:28PM (#13979830)
>This is entirely incorrect.

The comment was 4 hours old, based off a Seeking Alpha news bulletin (I should have known better) and was prefaced with "it's my understanding..." which left it open for you, or anyone else, to correct.

What exactly are you out to prove here?

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @03:12PM (#13979681)
>So long as the valuation goes up enough to compensate for the dilution, the per share stock price will be the same or higher

But per stock price is the "valuation".

My comment re: being detached stems from the fact that on Day X, you can buy Tesla for price $Y. Then Tesla sells more shares (dilution). So now each individual share represents a smaller proportion of company ownership...yet the next day people are willing to pay more for that smaller ownership.

Obviously there are far more dynamics at play; but generally, dilution should cause the price to drop.

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @03:05PM (#13979605)
>Tencent's position was acquired on the open market and the rest via the March 17 offering.

Editing because I think we were talking past each other. Yes, I didn't mean this specific event. I tend to meld all these TSLA threads together in my mind.

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @02:45PM (#13979434)
>Do you understand that's not what happens when shares are acquired on the open market?

Do you understand that Tencent bought shares in a secondary offering? Apparently you do, you said it. Not sure what you're arguing. Do you understand the purpose of selling shares is to raise money for operations?

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @02:38PM (#13979354)
>This was not a capital raise. Read the filing.

I don't need to read a filing to know that when you create shares out of nowhere, and sell them, diluting current shareholders, it's a capital raise. What else would you call it?

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @02:31PM (#13979294)
>But will the demand for electric vehicles justify a valuation on par with General Motors? That's the rub.

Yep. Building cars for the mainstream is a low-margin, capital-intensive business. That doesn't go away because Musk is brilliant.

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @12:17PM (#13977906)
>The raise will dilute earnings for common shareholders, so definitely a downward force on stock price.

The stock is detached from reality.

It's my understanding that this was another offering, so, essentially, Tesla sold 5% to Tencent at an average price of $217 and change. Current shareholders get diluted. Prices go up.

I don't get it, but I'd love an explanation. Were people, prior to these capital raises, concerned Tesla couldn't raise any more money? That would make sense, but certainly isn't the sentiment I gathered from my travels.

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @12:08PM (#13977803)
>Who says the capital raise is a 'wide open positive'?

The guy at the top of this thread who said "Shorts can't buy a break".

It's at least arguable that these sorts of capital raises are exactly what the shorts are looking for.

>And there aren't enough supercharging/fast charging stations.

For sure.

I live in a place where there are line ups at GAS stations during the busy season. Imagine everyone trying to charge while on a trip? That "half an hour to stretch my legs and eat" becomes a queue of everyone doing the same.

Re:Tencent buys 5% of Tesla on Tuesday March 28, 2017 @11:48AM (#13977589)
The stock has been stagnant for a long time, and it's still off its high. Shorts have done fine.

What's amazing are the longs seeing capital raises at mediocre terms as a wide open positive.

Way more often than not, yes.

Is your default position to assume there's an agenda behind every invitation?

Re:How to Be Someone People Love to Talk To (2015) on Monday March 27, 2017 @06:07AM (#13966367)
>The past few years have made me realize that your appearance only becomes more important as you age and progress in a white-collar career

You don't think the same shallow people judging your looks will judge your plastic surgery?

>No. On days where self driving cars don't work, price goes up, and the market puts more humans on the road.

So all these humans are just hanging around waiting for it to snow so that they have the pleasure of driving other people around? The market will react instantaneously?

Or are they doing other gigs in the meantime, like delivering people's lunches, laundry, groceries et al?

Re:Thanks for Submitting Your Résumé to This Black Hole on Sunday March 26, 2017 @09:54AM (#13960790)
We must live vastly different lives. Otherwise, why would anyone want to spend their spare social time in job hunt mode? Sometimes I want to foster relationships I already have, not eternally be working on new ones.
Especially in the early years of life, when the 11 month difference between a January baby and December baby in a class might be 1/5 to 1/10 of the child's life. That's a huge advantage, physically, intellectually and socially, for the older child.
>All that even with taking two years off in the middle of my college years.

How has any of this made you better off? You make it sound as if "taking two years off" in your late teens/early twenties is a major issue.

Personally, I wish I would have seen more of the world after high school and before college.

>If you press, it usually comes down to, "Doing the best we can," which is nice for gymnastics, but less so for published research.

If "doing the best we can" is too low of a standard for research, then it's all garbage. Yes, there are many problems with some of the research out there, but you deal with it, not ignore it all. The purpose is to reduce uncertainty, not "get the right answer".

>There is no way you can be selling the genuine product at that price and be making a profit.

Am I missing where the ad says it's a genuine Apple product? I see that it says "compatible", but that's clearly a fake to me. Not that it wouldn't trick some people, but I can't really blame Amazon for that. It's a knockoff.

I think if someone goes onto Amazon and buys a phone charger for half the price of a genuine charger, that's a different problem than paying for and receiving a "genuine" charger that turns out to be fake.

Re:HyperNormalisation [video] on Saturday March 25, 2017 @11:04AM (#13955993)
>But like many of Adam Curtis's documentaries this can feel like it takes too long to get to the point.

That's the style. Personally, I dig it, and enjoy (and recommend) everything he's done. I love his use of music and old, stock footage. And he always has an interesting thesis, agree with it or not.

Re:Uber to Suspend Autonomous Tests After Arizona Accident on Saturday March 25, 2017 @10:08AM (#13955696)
>It's a good question whether society is ready to accept this, though.

Hah, "it" being ready as in the technology, not society. Poor writing on my part.

But I guess either works.

Re:Uber to Suspend Autonomous Tests After Arizona Accident on Saturday March 25, 2017 @09:03AM (#13955416)
>Autonomous vehicles will have challenges that human drivers do not

Wait a minute: I don't think the argument is whether machines can drive better than humans. It's whether these companies that are desperate to make money (Uber, Tesla) are pushing potentially dangerous technology on to society before it's ready.

Re:Drug 'reverses' ageing in animal tests on Thursday March 23, 2017 @05:38PM (#13944604)
>It doesn't even matter if it's shown to not work on humans

Case in point: 95% of the supplement industry.

>Uber is essentially just a matcher and payment processor that takes a cut, they don't own vehicles or employ drivers

That's the story their PR spins. Luckily they don't make the laws.

You think this idea of, "He's not my employee, he's a contractor!" as a way to avoid employer obligations is new? That's a laugh, and it's the reason these laws exist.

>If they want to simplify taxes -- as they claim, the best way to simplify is simply to eliminate.

Because consumption taxes are the most efficient form of taxation. You want a private chauffeur? Pay up.

>Lower fares mean more revenue for drivers and Uber

Huh? Only if the driver is working a lot harder.

>Uber drivers are not employees. They are independent contractors.

This is under dispute, and I think you're going to find that governments around the world disagree with you.

Re:US Senate votes to undo FCC internet privacy rules on Thursday March 23, 2017 @04:02PM (#13943682)
>I never say it is untouchable

No, but you did say "Who in the right mind would propose cutting EPA budget". I would think about it, as I hope my elected officials would.

>but 31% is a lot. Perhaps they need to convince me their cutting will yield to better spending

This is fair.

Re:US Senate votes to undo FCC internet privacy rules on Thursday March 23, 2017 @03:48PM (#13943514)
>Who in the right mind would propose cutting EPA budget?

Once set, the EPA budget is untouchable? That seems like a terrible way to run government. I'm not for or against the budget cut, but I don't think anything should be off-limits.

>do not support Trump

You don't say....

>If one day voters are given a secure voting application they can vote on all issues, it will be great.

I think you'd be surprised for how many people "internet privacy" is completely and utterly irrelevant to their daily struggles.

Re:The Gig Economy Celebrates Working To Excess on Thursday March 23, 2017 @01:01PM (#13941632)
>I work about 15 hours a month opening up positions and closing them with my brokerage account.

If you're going to brag online about your investment performance, post your anonymized brokerage statements. Otherwise, you're just another person who's full of it.

Re:The Gig Economy Celebrates Working To Excess on Thursday March 23, 2017 @12:44PM (#13941436)
>Inflation adjustment doesn't take into account costs that are prevalent in an era but totally absent in another: like internet access, cellphone bills, and such. Nor how much one not puts into their retirement account / savings to spend on daily needs.

Yes it does. Have you looked at how the BLS calculates the market-basket they use for CPI calculations? It's determined by actual spending by actual people on actual goods. This information is public:

"Knowing that consumers are constantly offered new items to include in their market basket, how do changing market baskets influence the CPI? The answer is not unambiguous and depends on the importance of the change in terms of total expenditures by consumers."

https://www.bls.gov/ore/abstract/st/st950200.htm

>If you don't believe the numbers then use both side by side, open 250MB file in all of them and look at the screen.

Maybe I don't have any 250MB files to open?

If VSCode doesn't fit your use case, don't use it. There are innumerable alternatives. But what purpose does it serve to tell the rest of us (who like it) that it sucks?

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