oro44
Writing lines of code? Nope. If one can imagine… trust me, writing lines of code is trivial.
Most people have no imagination. So sure they can produce more stuff with llm’s but it’ll just be mostly garbage.
Perhaps they can produce some peculiar workflow that works ‘for them’. Sure. But I think about the money invested into the LLM-based projects and I highly doubt we are going to see any returns that justify the spend. What we are going to see is a felling on the profession of software engineers, since the pipe dream of AGI isn’t coming and imagination is scarce.
Most People do not care about the technology and frankly they don’t want to know about it. They want great experiences. That’s it.
Technologists seem to have a reallyyyy hard time getting it.
You’re not seeing the issue are you? Anyone with half a brain could’ve told you what would happen.
It’s jarring that a group of ‘smart’ people did something stupid. It shows a lack of vision and focus.
Would it be harder? Sure. And perhaps the difficulty adds an additional cost of passion being a necessary condition to embark on the innovation. Passion leads to really good stuff.
My personal fear is we get landfill sites of junk software produced. To some extent it should be costly to convert an idea to a concept - the cost being thinking carefully so what you put out there is somewhat legible.
Oh and sadly, llm’s are useless for the imaginative part too. Shucks eh.
It’s truly amazing. This is why I’m not surprised people are ‘blown away’ by llm’s. They were never truly intrinsically intelligent - they were expert regurgitators of knowledge on demand.
Steve already suffered from immense scar tissue of starting with the technology. And yet.. this wisdom blows over peoples minds. More fool them.
"oooh Im afraid of doxxing myself", wtf? lmao!
Im very confident the experts in every field are not all that impressed by LLMs, relative of course, to those who were 'meh' in the first place. Experts meaning those who actually understand the content, not simply regurgitate or repeat it on demand.
I'd even go as far as to say there are many out there who have a feeling of disdain of the experts and want to see LLMs flourish because of this.
They'd be unstoppable irrespective of LLMs. Why do you think Zuckerberg acquired Instagram? He literally tried copying it and failed. Instagram at the time was absolutely tiny in terms of pure labour, relative to Facebook.
Most people on hacker news are missing the point. Productivity gains for the sake of perceived productivity gains is not what creates economic value. Its not the equivalent of a factory all of a sudden becoming more productive in producing more of the same stuff. Not comparable at all.
Its quite likely this is already happening buddy...
The 'random' degradation across all LLM-based services is obvious at this point.
Some companies used to have a full-blown army: "...twice the size of the British Army at certain times.[5]"
Before being nationalised of course. Nationalisation is always the end-game when a corporation becomes too powerful.
A firm that is led by people who can envision, very clearly, revenue-generating and cost-reduction projects - wins. Writing code by hand is absolutely irrelevant. Who fucking cares. The former is what matters.
Code generation acceleration only matters when those pre-requisites are met. How did Apple go from the verge of bankruptcy to where it is today?
All Im seeing is most people are not smart at all - no wonder they are so impressed by LLMs! They can't think straight. I only see this become even worse over-time. Perhaps this is the stated goal.
Im working on building something to address this. That's all I'll say lol.
Personally I believe the stock market is incredibly, incredibly shaky. Investors are now in full-fear mode, it doesn't matter what news Nvidia etc print - if customers of OAI and others, are not seeing a meaningful INCREMENTAL increase in revenue generation or increase in cost-reduction (aside from white-washing it with lay-offs from insane hiring in the past).
RE. stupidity - it is stupidity for the most part. Without the stupidity in quantity of demand, there is no market for LLMs from enterprise et al.
Wanna know how stupid it is? Someone I know who works at Blackrock as a portfolio manager pretty high up is all of a sudden being forced to learn how to code and use LLMs to code. Yes you heard me right - this behaviour is expanding out of the software engineering profession.
Its absolutely nuts.
Why? Because all the folks involved have created a technology in search for a problem to solve. That never, ever works. Steve Jobs of all people left this piece of wisdom behind. Its amazing how few actually apply it.
The internet was never this - its origins go back to the need to able to transmit data - darpa. And this is what we still do now...
Right so you are going to be left behind whilst the ground keeps shifting under you, given the models are non-deterministic and continuously changing?
There was a big rush of prompt engineers. Where are they now? Nobody even referse to 'prompt engineering' anymore.
The best thing to do is wait for steady-state. Whats going on is insane... a slow implosion of the code base.
Most humans are not intrinsically intelligent: they are regurgitators and mimickers of others. Very few think independently and are capable of original thought.
Come at me with the down voting.. I dont care. History will show Im correct.