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Ha! Granted. I took it as understood there’d be snow.

So many weird “you don’t need AWD” takes. Like it’s a badge of honor to use an inferior tool for a job, as long as you get the job done? Bizarre.

I mean the interesting bit of this conversation is about intelligence not laws. If you want to debate that talk to someone else I guess.

Agreed, this is certainly reasonable. 4% isn’t and shouldn’t be taken as particularly good, it just works and it’s what a lucky retiree might know about.

My point is that there’s no scientific way to demonstrate that one has made a choice vs that outcome being determined (perhaps probabilistically) or being random. We can’t “go back” and do it a different way to demonstrate we’ve actually chosen.

We don’t understand what it means to be intelligent in the way people generally mean, and we don’t understand (scientifically) what it means to choose. So we can’t use choice to usefully define intelligence.

Yeah it’s nice but it’s way less than DINKs in NYC or SF might spend. Like I said it’s more about how and where you want to live. Also I would not want to live on the “edge” of affordable myself.

You’d never put your whole nut into treasuries unless you wanted to get killed by inflation. You’re looking at a 50 year retirement if you’re in your 30s.

“4%” (Trinity study style I mean) is the pop culture number that accommodates down markets and inflation over 50 years, to a first approximation.

I did this / am doing this. It is indeed nice. However, depending on where you want to live and of course how you want to live, “several million post-tax” after buying 2 homes doesn’t necessarily cut it. I think this is what leads to the “dragon” mindset described.

Maths: - 7MM post tax (let’s say) - Less 2MM for 2 houses (rates being what they are you’ll likely not mortgage both properties, or even one; if you do your monthly burn is so much higher it comes out in the wash). - 4% because you read about FIRE - 200k pre-tax (you tax burden should be low, maybe 15%) - 170k post tax for your family. If you live anywhere higher than average COL you might find yourself feeling a bit like a large reptile at times.

> The model isn't an "intelligence" because it's not making a choice […]

There’s no evidence any of us are making choices either. I don’t think LLMs are intelligences in the way most people mean the word (I think that would be vastly overestimating their abilities) but appealing to choice when it’s so poorly understood — as poorly understood as intelligence, even — is not useful.

If it’s stupid and it works… !

I am not sure that’s a good comparison, as you got no immediate visceral value from wearing a mask, whereas presumably you will from this fantastical device.

Even among the most concerned populations there was a sense that a mask wasn’t going to help you in a significant and specific way, more at a population level. And in more than half the US at least it was seen as absolute bullshit.

Any chance you could share a snap of your setup ideally with windows distributed around as you prefer? I’m always interested in other peoples’ approach in this area.

I’m a laptop only person. I never understood how a single monitor would be better. But quantity has a quality all its own and 4 monitors seems like it could enable novel approaches.