larkinnaire
This post is incoherent. It begins with an anecdote about AI in a medical context, but later acts as if the whole post is about AI in casual conversation (as it is in the (better-written) post they are responding to). Those are very different contexts with very different considerations! But also both the original post and reply are premised on the idea that saying "actually I'd rather not" is super awkward and makes you "sound like a paranoid Luddite". That is catastrophizing, as evidenced by the anecdote in which the author says "yes I mind" and it is totally fine. Look, different people have different social norms, and while it is good to have boundaries and voice them, it is also good to try to understand where they're coming from, and not respond with "of course I fucking mind, how dare you!" To people like me, an AI transcription of a convo is simply not the same as a third person in the conversation. If you introspect for a bit, you can probably see how I could think the way I do. I certainly understand how someone can think AI is like a third person! If you take the time to understand where people are coming from, it will make it easier for you to politely establish your boundaries and also lower your blood pressure in general.
Amusing Ourselves, on the other hand, was brilliant when I first read it, but now we seem to be living in a world that is both Orwell and Huxley. The free market provides endless pap, AND governments/political figures have learned to use new media to provide endless misinformation designed to keep us fearful. So maybe if I read it today it would not seem as relevant.
(I don't know what the redeeming argument for TikTok would be...)
1. Examine papers and other claims that an LLM gets something wrong that a human would have gotten wrong. How many of those claims have any citations about how many humans actually get it wrong? How many of those citations use the general population instead of the population of people who would be uniquely well-suited to answering the question correctly (i.e. people who signed up for the GRE are more likely to get GRE questions right than the general population).
2. For claims that are totally missing citations on human performance, run some tests with humans from the general population (or as close as you can get), and see how the LLMs compare.
(Of course, I don't have a citation either, but I'm not the one writing the paper.)
The most important thing: therapy. Don't spend too much time finding a therapist -- take the first one with an opening. If you don't get along with them, ask for a referral or use a method discussed in other comments. But the important thing is to start. Many therapists will do video calls now. Medication can also be effective.
Some more good stuff about your life: * You're not too old for marriage or even kids. Guys are lucky in that respect -- we have an easier time finding partners and having kids when we're older. * You took an important step: you posted this question. I am terrified to do any such thing about my own problems, so I respect you a lot for it. * You had a network before, and professional networks are more resilient than you think. If a co-worker from 10 years ago emailed me out of the blue, I'd be happy to talk to them. I think you'd be happy to talk to your old colleagues, so why the assumption that they wouldn't respond to you? That's an example of catastrophizing thinking. A therapist can help you with that better than HN randos...but still, asking HN randos is a good step to take! * It's not a given that the best of your life is behind you. Every part of your life can be the prime of your life if you value the things that part of your life has to offer.
Good luck, friend.
> The issue is too systemic at this point
Ah, but there are also systemic issues that prevent Congress from doing the things you'd like them to do. For instance, Congress is vulnerable to money. Journals have money they can use to lobby. Are there other players with money and incentive to lobby for the "burn it all down" side? Which mountain of systemic issues is easier to climb? Sounds like an empirical question.
Solving the problem by either approach is going to be really really complicated and full of compromises you won't like, and anyone who talks like their solution is super simple and obvious should be read with skepticism.
It seems like the author's beef is with journals, rather than peer-review. If we did away with "peer review" today, journals would still have to operate the same way -- they'd still have many more submissions than they have room for, so a team of people (ideally, peers) would need to, uh, review those submissions according to some criteria. We can discuss whether the criteria should be adjusted, but I don't see how journals survive without gatekeepers.
So, fine, he wants to do away with journals. Without a description of an alternative system, it sounds like the best researchers would just...upload their stuff to Arxiv and hope that someone reads it? Again, I'm not saying there is no alternative, but because he spends all his time arguing against "peer review", he spends no time discussing alternatives to journals that would solve more problems than they create.
He addresses the question "can we fix peer review instead of replacing it" by discussing ways that fixes have failed in the real world. So what makes him think that a replacement would be easier? The "burn it all down and rebuild it according to my preferences" approach also doesn't have a great track record!
And the certainty with which he states his conclusions gives me a sense that this is not someone who's super open to feedback.