frnkng
Example: A.I. provider delivers bad models -> ai provider eventually gets less resources
Example 2: A.I. Provider delivers good models -> provider gets more usage and eventually more ressources
So, the system does not self improve but it gets the feedback from the rest of the world on how useful it is and also on how it can become more useful.
It rated the company where I work as completely replaceable. Which I rate as insane because if I think it could be replaced, I’d quit tomorrow and start a competitor that is cheaper/faster/better.
Also I wonder why it is not common to run interception drones that automatically fly towards incoming drones and captures them mid air. Like a wasp is capturing other insects.
So pretty much like the iron dome but not with single use rockets but reusable drones instead.
However, there are two things that worry me:
a) what about datagrams bigger then MSS? Here the risk of losing the whole datagram doubles, triples, … Locally, it may not be so bad when one can use jumbo frames, but one the internet, it will be 1452 bytes per Datagram, before fragmentation happens
b) how to handle encryption and authentication?
So, whoever has significant wealth will do exactly this and take out loans to purchase productive assets and then, later on, pay back much less because the dollar lost value in the mean time.
This works out as long as the interest rate is lower then the actual annual loss in purchasing power.
https://polymarket.com/event/xi-jinping-out-in-2025?tid=1751...
How much concurrent tasks can you run on a mid sized server in 2024?
Definition of mid size: machine that will have 1TB Ram and maybe 64 Cores.
A small machine would be my workstation. 192GB Ram and 32 Cores.
What programming env do I have to use to eat up all those Ressources without petering out?
At some point in time, some dev splits the file to get faster responses again.
Despite this, we have no issues, git works fine and search and navigation in the code is also just fine.
“ Last year, the Census Bureau projected that the U.S. population would peak around 2080 and head into a continuous decline thereafter.”
The census bureau has to make those projections because they are supposed to do that. But that projection is most likely so inaccurate that it is not worth the paper it is printed on.
I see this as an instance of jevrons law. AI will overall induce more demand for work because knowledge work can be leveraged with ai and thus it becomes more productive.
I had a miner running with Nividia cards and a miner running with AMD cards. One of them had massive maintenance demand and the other did not. I will not state which brand was better imho.
Currently I estimate that running miners and running gpu servers has similar operational requirements and finally at scale similar financial considerations.
So, whatever is cheapest to operate in terms of time expenditure, hw cost, energy use,… will be used the most.
P.s.: I ran the mining operation not to earn money but mainly out of curiosity. And it was a small scale business powered by a pv system and a attached heat pump.
Long term the differences in productivity are clearly visible.
Error over time: 0
The market gap where to start this is obvious to me: at least in Germany a lot of street food vendors don’t accept credit cards and there you can only pay with cash. They purely compete on price and quality, the payment means is no differentiator for them. It may even be that other properties of cash are crucial to their current mode of operation.
The strategy how to start a cc competitor is not obvious to me. Either one needs to plow a ton of money into the market to spur adoption or some Schema for organic growth must be found. The latter would be strictly preferable as the risk is much smaller.
1. The putins of our world will never die naturally. They will die only by force.
2. According to Max Planck, scientific progress will stop, because science makes progress funeral by funeral.
1. Nearly all features feel like they are half-baked. I do not even know where to start my enumeration of things that can be improved. The worst is maybe the search, followed by the wiki, followed by the issues.
2. It is more important for them to add more features then to improve existing features.
I think this is a direct consequence of the company politics as stated in the article. People may like working there and see it as gold standard. But from my point of view (as a paying customer) I’d like to see more people there work more on consolidation and refinement. Of course engineers prefer working on the cool new stuff. If there is no one who forces the focus on improving existing stuff, nothing gets better over time. At our company we have the same sickness, I wonder what others are doing differently that they don’t have the same problem. E.g. Apple.
On the other hand: there is not much of an alternative to gitlab. Atlassian self hosting is no more. Maybe Gitea + anything for CI/CD?
I don’t think that we reach soon a point where all worthwhile softwares are already written. It will be much more like building construction where you teardown and rebuild after some decades to get a modernised version.
Let’s assume a price point of 0,1€/kWh heat(2), a truck load would carry heat with a cargo worth of 361€.
I wonder how far it can be transported unless it’s more expensive than traditional heat sources.
Could they somehow double the heat per weight, this would be a thing.
(1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Potassium_carbonate
(2) https://partner.toshiba-klima.at/heat_output/index.php?l=2
The drop of the ruble made the war much cheaper for Russia.
1. They pay their soldiers in rub, machinery was already paid or is bought from domestic suppliers in RUB.
2. Russia earns eur or usd by selling oil and gas to the EU. They earn more rub because the rate decreased so much.
As a result: Russia silently decreased the payment of their soldiers by the exact amount that the ruble fell. A truely evil plan. Fighting your brother nation and not even paying for it. The more the rub falls, the cheaper the war gets for them.
Now the scale of the conflicts got larger and Russia attacked a country with >40M inhabitants.
Russia will not stop with wars until it looses its means to do so.
Russia has a big pile of money they earn by exporting oil and gas to Europe. 50% of their trade volume is directed to Europe. I would bet Russia needs that money to sustain its military spendings. Maybe not in one single year but over a longer period of time, let’s say 10 years. With other words: Europe paid for the war with Ukraine.
There may be other countries as well that do not care about human rights but export a lot of goods to Europe or industrial countries in general.
Imho the right thing to do would be to implement an automatism that penalties undesired behaviour of trade partners. Not specifically for Russia but for all countries that do not behave well.
One easy means to achieve this would be a taxation system based on the compliance with regard to a well defined set of human rights standards.
Example:
- suppression of the opposition: 10% tax rate on imports from that country.
- no free press: another 10% tax rate
- full scale war with neighbouring state: 50% tax rate for the next 20 years.
As the tax rate is selectively applied, source countries that behave well have an economic benefit compared to countries that don’t behave well.
Applied to Russia and the Eu this would have the following consequences:
1. the cost base of exports from Russia to the eu would increase by the given tax rate if they decide ship to the eu.
2. Russia could ship somewhere else. but as their total addressable market shrinks they will earn less even if they ship to china or any other sufficiently large market without such a tax. Thus they have less money to spend for militaria anyway.
3. Energy would be more expensive for Europeans. This will speed up the migration to other sources of energy and reduce the consumption. It will also cause a recession, but so what. It’s only money lost.
4. Other producing countries may invest as well in energy infrastructure as the increased cost base makes investments more lucrative
Even if the economic consequences in the short term are dire, in the longer term the market will regulate that very well.
Also: going to a bloody war with Russia will for sure be worse that a 2..5year recession. For any industrialised country it would be much worse to loose let’s say 100k productive inhabitants compared with loosing some billions of the local currency.
I guess big cooperations exactly know in which pieces of the supply chain the true value is delivered. And they capture exactly those pieces. The other pieces are outsourced to produce/deliver them with as little cost/overhead as possible. That allows the big cooperations to have high margins to pay a totally inefficient workforce.
The oldest stone house of germany, ca. 1k years old. The wood is dated to 1035..1075 ad.
But Im sure that house is pretty young for Italian or Egyptian standards…