doctorpangloss

Okay... can you name a specific thing? I'm confused. Nomad and Kubernetes both support Windows workers well. Kubernetes, afaik, doesn't support something like OpenBSD in a common flavor like RKE.

Do you mean Kubernetes on Windows?

I think it's more that the quirky neurodivergence makes it much easier to look the other way for the skeezy, and sometimes criminal, ways that banks make money.

It's more like opera. Math has always been opera.

Do rich people like opera? Yes. Is that a profit motive? No... but it's a shibboleth for wanting to be rich. Do you get it?

It's ridiculous to say, no profit motive in mathematics. It's like saying, no profit motive in LISP. But cmon, you think the Collison brother who took Math 55 and liked LISP: I know that in a pedantic sense what you mean. But in terms of academic departments where people say they are no interested in money and it turns out they want to become billionaires... Math Department ranks pretty highly. Always has.

it's unfortunate that you are getting downvoted for having an actual conversation rather than just piling on these guys. but there are also a lot of places where people have said "everyone is using LLMs" and also "this thing about the job being requirements is a myth, because lots of requirements are ridiculous" has also been said, so i don't know. what do people want? a lot of these bullshit startups to fail, which is funny, but it's not good.

Step 1. Find code on GitHub.

Step 2. Copy it into your repo. Who cares what the license says, how would the authors of that code ever see it being misused, because the place it is being misused requires a security clearance?

Step 3. Deliver the code as yours.

Truly, how will the people who authored something on GitHub ever know? Any circumstance you describe would require someone without clearance to know implementation details of some software. Which is to say, either the thing I describe happens all the time, or security clearances are overblown.

Is it that difficult? Use a warm Safari profile on a real Mac. Then Turnstile becomes Apple's problem, ie, solved, because they use PAT.

i don't mean to engage in this rhetoric where you have to worry about being flamed. i'm just asking you to sincerely answer the question and not worry about how it looks.

for example one big lever is student loan debt relief. another is mortgage and auto loans relief. another is reducing the exclusivity period for pharmaceutical patents. so these are taxes in only the metaphorical sense - you get worse medicine with shorter exclusivity periods - but maybe people like that trade?

> the stock market crashing just means cutting back on primarily discretionary spend - think no new car and maybe not buying the family new iPhones every year - they're not in any danger of going hungry, especially if they have any sense.

this is a very paul krugman hand wavey POV. without a doubt, it would be a catastrophe.

"Hey Mr. Inference Provider, you can sell tokens for $0.03 that cost you $0.02, to PRC end users who are too poor to use Claude or don't like that it refuses their use case, which is spam, scams and cheating on homework.

Or, you can trade $0.03 of tokens that cost you $0.02 for $1.00 in ANTHROPIC SHARES, which makes the thing that everyone uses for like, math discoveries and curing cancer."

Average Hacker News commenter (not you): "Nooooooo it's not profitable Anthropic is going to crater nobody will take their convertible notes"

which government lever can increase the wealth of the lower 80% of income earners in the way you want? the problem with the kind of progressive taxation to fuel "wealth redistribution" (really, job programs) you're imagining is that government spending is inefficient - do we want to pay the prices it costs to convince people to do backbreaking work building ghost cities and bridges to nowhere, it's not like in China where everything is driven by fakery and coercion. compare that to the seemingly unlimited cushy office bullshit jobs that bloat in the private sector creates.

It doesn't really work like that. There are "keys" where you train in a specific response to a variety of queries. You can't really fine tune that away either.

The more parsimonious explanation is that 100 PMs are even less qualified to make surgical robots, but at least they can download a video game and play it for 5 minutes. There's a great scene in You Can See Everything where Billy Evans is watching bio presentations on 1.5x speed, which obviously, makes him look like a huge moron - "knowing enough" bio is very bearish.

Anyway, let's take your theory to its logical conclusion: the product development between real and simulated soft tissue behavior is much bigger than Exponential Time being a hypothesis and being proven. There isn't some effective acceleraltruist path here. Dario Amodei was a biotech dropout. The thing you are betting on which Google is not doing anyway, maybe they will destroy the descriptive single cell sequencing paper mill, but they're not going to be able to simulate the fat inside a BMI 30 abuela undergoing a gallbladder removal.

another POV is, what even are these experiences? whom are they for? it would take Google 10 minutes to hire all the best game developers for Android, and cost them like $2m, which is peanuts, and give them fancy Google Research titles. but instead, they're trying to get 100 google PMs, who don't give their kids screentime and who don't play any games the objective of making a product for Bart Simpsons. like these people don't realize that being good parents disqualifies them from making immersive first person shooter, "narrative" experiences.

Here let me fix their statement for you:

> "The external collaborations will follow four principles... until Anthropic, Google, DeepSeek, Google and dozens of Chinese companies all make the same offering, in which case we will rediscover and re-implement all of the things you hate about traditional academic advancement and publishing, except because our companies are run by people even more mercurial and self-absorbed than university presidents, we'll wind up supporting even fewer people to do it."

there's no threat model for this (mass-media image authenticity verification) that attestation solves. i mean, i know people will say that there is, but they're all wrong haha.

IPO returns for IPO buyers who hold past lockup expiry, yes, it's been really bad.

Biotech IPOs are even worse. There are 5-year segments where only about 1 in 40 biotech & pharmaceutical IPOs trade above their IPO price at expiry.

On the flip side, in biotech, biopharma and SaaS, 2025 IPOs had nearly 10x the valuations of 2015 IPOs. So you may trade below expiry, but the structure of the earlier deals you participated in, you make way more money anyway.

you're conflating a lot of different stuff together.

if someone knew a better way to improve test scores without cheating on them, we'd use it. it's a very hard problem.

on the flip side it is pretty obvious how construction and manufacturing can be automated and what the impact will be. it's so obvious that we already tariff and ban stuff that, from our POV, is automated, like prefab buildings, for solely political reasons.

there's a reason this is a meme and not one of the Ten Commandments haha

people are not questioning whether or not the goal is good or bad. they're showing that the Concern is really a Concern Troll. that is, their concerns aren't really sincere.

that said i think the appropriate meme for this is the Big Chin guy

did they though? you're kind of assuming that they were. i'm confident so-and-so employee common holder got wiped out, but everyone? no.

was it though? sounds like wework had the last laugh. is bankruptcy part of the strategy? people like you call insolvency the end of the journey. the journey is whatever you want it to be.

it's easy. imagine a bunch of execs with kids. the execs don't play any video games. their kids aren't allowed any screentime. okay, now they're trying to make a product whose primary audience is Bart Simpson. do you see how that leadership is completely disconnected from their audience?

look all the commenters here... this is a lot of words with way too much intellectualizing.

tv and movies killed radio and opera. and now tiktok is killing tv and movies. it's not complicated.

it doesn't seem that complicated to me. what do you think the cost is for AWS to serve inference it sells to Anthropic for "$1.00"? I think it's about $0.11. Then, ask yourself, did Amazon sell it to Anthropic at all? No, they traded $0.11 real dollars for $1.00 of Anthropic shares (the CLN that created the real loss Anthropic is talking about), which are now worth $10.00 (which is why people talk about this as a paper loss). So... IS it profitable? It's profitable, but Amazon didn't JUST sell inference when they turned $0.11 into $10.00...

in some kind of boring sense, sure.

but have you looked up who invented the computer? and who was funding all the first versions of the software we use? it was the US military.

> We already run everything on Kubernetes, so deploying a service was mostly a matter of adding a Terraform module and a Helm chart.

Haha "we run everything on kubernetes, so deployment is a matter of using the least logical complement to it, and the lowest budget, flakiest and overbuilt alternative to plan manifests with none of the benefits of an operator"

i don't know. you're taking a really simplistic view of loss leaders that doesn't really apply anymore. you're taking everything valve says at face value.

despite 1/5th of active players on Steam playing Valve titles, valve titles are probably closer to 1/2 of the revenue, since DOTA2 and CSGO are really well monetized F2P games. probably less than 1/10th of the platform's revenue goes to pay-to-play titles like the majority of them do on the switch (except maybe fortnite).

nintendo by comparison: basically none of its titles, despite being very popular, have IAP, and the ones that do (like tracks in mario kart) it's DLC, it's not microtransactions / lootboxes.

so: define consumer friendly. is it really a 3x more expensive console, that primarily sells lootboxes? i feel like this stuff about open or not open misses the forest for the trees. yes, you can play pirated games on a steam deck.

i don't know, the writing about concord was pretty clear, "toxic positivity" were the words that stuck out to me to describe its cause of failure according to the people who worked on it, which is a leadership issue. this is a side of being nimble to player feedback.

how do you figure the steam deck "sells" that many "games"?

most of the top steam charts are free to play.

about 1/5th of all active players on Steam are playing Valve's first party titles.

it sells games, yes. but is it selling games the way a switch does? no.

all it takes is 1 TikTok trend

Pokémon Showdown isn't a game so much as it is competitive Wiki reading.