Unitron

> Knowing what code to write, what code to refactor, what abstraction to use that fits with your other abstractions — these things are the real job.

I don't see why you can't train AI to do these tasks. If you can train a human to do something you can train an AI to do it as well.

Volition is not necessarily required and pseudo-volition can be trained.

> Unless they actually create AGI. It which case, everyone is fucked, regardless of the industry. At that point, we all have to become massage therapists or waiters.

GPT-4 has already shown sparks of AGI. It can solve complex problems with high accuracy. AGI is inevitable and will arrive soon, most likely within the next 3 years.

And those jobs you've listed can be replaced by AI, the only limiting factor at this point is the lack of a physical body. Though, massages will still be performed by humans as some people would prefer that, but others don't care and would likely prefer AI over a human. So AI will still be deployed to act as a massage therapist.

> Compilers didn't replace coders, they just changed the nature of coding. AI doesn't change coding, but it may change the nature of coding in some ways.

This is a poor comparison. AI itself does the coding. GPT-4 can already write code from scratch with high accuracy. At this stage, it still needs a person to review it, but since AI is growing exponentially and can learn how to review code, this will definitely change soon.

And no, this isn't limited to simple coding problems. GPT-4 has been shown to be able to solve complex problems. We're still in the very early stages of AI and it can already do at least 50% of the work by itself, and that's a low estimate.

You don't even need AI to make a good salad, someone can program a robot with pre-made recipes.

And the other examples are also poor. AI today can already compose unique music.

This is a poor comparison. Unlike crypto, AI today already has real world uses. And AI is growing exponentially, it's getting better and better with each month. Models can also be trained for specific purposes, resulting in more accurate outcomes. Many jobs today can already be completely replaced with AI.