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Cowen

Re:I don't trust Signal on Thursday August 09, 2018 @10:03AM (#17724252)
> We have at least one data point that says that Signal stores exactly two integers about you

For people wondering what they are:

> "The only information responsive to the subpoena held by OWS is the time of account creation and the date of the last connection to Signal servers for account [redacted]. Consistent with the Electronic Conununications Privacy Act ("ECPA"), 18 U.S.C. § 2703(c)(2), OWS is providing this information in response to the subpoena."

Their response to the subpoena then goes on to object to its overly broad scope, which asked for things that require a court order or a search warrant. They also object to the scope of the nondisclosure order included in the subpoena.

Re:Military Reading List on Friday February 03, 2017 @11:00AM (#13560686)
I'm not sure if this is an official list. But for those interested, the top offices of the military do pretty regularly publish reading lists.

National Defense University (an actual part of the Department of Defense) has links to them all here.

* http://www.ndu.edu/Libraries/Professional-Military-Reading-L...

EDIT: Well, plenty of the links appear to actually be broken. But a quick Google can probably find those ones.

As far as votes of confidence go, Julia landing successfully at any of the 12 Federal Reserve Banks is a strong one. They all do a whole mess of complex modeling. The NY Fed in particular is a "first among equals" in the Federal Reserve system, so it's always good to be there.

That said, I have no idea if this will be that influential on economists changing their tools, or the tools that they teach to their students. People tend to stick with tools that they know and like. But it's very possible that this will help Julia in the eyes of people getting into the field choosing their first programming language.

Re:Unicorn Fears and Stopping Stops on Thursday November 19, 2015 @02:22PM (#10596910)
If you'd asked me a few years ago, I never would've thought I would be interested in a financial newsletter.

But Matt Levine's really are the best. Hilarious and insightful five days a week.

Evolution doesn't "require" anything except breeding.
Re:New Findings from War on Poverty: Just Give Cash on Saturday October 17, 2015 @07:40PM (#10406636)
I forgot who exactly put it this way, but I like the idea of thinking of direct cash transfers as the "index investing" of poverty interventions.

It won't guarantee the absolute best return, but it can effectively guarantee a very respectable average return.

Re:Trans-Pacific Partnership Trade Deal Is Reached on Monday October 05, 2015 @11:22AM (#10332376)
> Political fallout would be huge if this thing doesn't go through, right? All players in the game are heavily invested in this passing because without it, years are wasted, so I'm expecting it to pass.

This depends on perspective.

In terms of domestic elections, chances are the TPP won't make a real difference in countries like the US or Canada one way or another. Foreign policy generally only affects domestic elections at its extremes, e.g. winning/losing a war. Voters might be for or against TPP for any number of reasons, but chances are when they actually step into the voting booth, TPP will be low on their list of reasons for voting whichever way they do.

In terms of international relations, reneging on a huge deal that was painstakingly negotiated over seven years is obviously never a good thing. But it's hard to say how or when that could come back to bite whichever countries back out of the deal.

Re:An Oral History of Diablo II on Tuesday September 08, 2015 @04:12PM (#10187954)
The way I've always put it: Diablo 2 was a better game, but Diablo 1 was a better experience.
Nonsense. I'm saying that people live in the real world with real contexts, not in Context-Free-Abstraction-Land.

Real contexts, where abstract concepts have been concrete realities, put natural and rational limits on the ability to treat those concepts as abstract ideas to be debated solely on their hypothesized merits rather than their hard realities. There is a very rational difference between arguing in favor of communism on an American college campus, where communism is a lovely abstract ideal, and arguing in favor of it in Romania or Ukraine where communism was a brutal reality.

Moldbug is an American, being read by Americans, writing about his support for the institution of slavery, and explicitly saying that some races are genetically better suited for slavery than others. It is far more rational to treat that as racist than to bend over backwards and pretend that it is not in the name of free debate.

> it's very human and natural for people to deliberately misunderstand things so they can work themselves into a rage over things.

Kind of like what you're doing right now?

Concepts are understood in contexts. Everyone involved in this context is American, so it's natural for slavery here to be viewed through an American context. In that context, slavery is inherently racist.

After all, it's not like Moldbug's writing shies away from this idea.

> Not all humans are born the same, of course, and the innate character and intelligence of some is more suited to mastery than slavery. For others, it is more suited to slavery. And others still are badly suited to either. These characteristics can be expected to group differently in human populations of different origins. Thus, Spaniards and Englishmen in the Americas in the 17th and earlier centuries, whose sense of political correctness was negligible, found that Africans tended to make good slaves and Indians did not. This broad pattern of observation is most parsimoniously explained by genetic differences.

> unless the very concept of slavery is supposed to be considered racist

I've never read a word of Moldybug or whatever, but in the American context, the very concept of slavery is absolutely considered racist and rightly so. America's history of slavery is completely inseparable from racism.

According to some napkin math with these figures[0], the three metro areas combined account for 11.7% of US GDP in 2012.

So yeah, I'm not sure what estimate they're using for the growth multiple from liberalizing land-use constraints, but if they're predicting a near doubling of the combined metro economies, it's safe to assume it's pretty high.

I do agree that land-use restrictions are currently holding all three cities back, my Friday night napkin math (read: probably wrong, way oversimplified math) just thinks their estimates are a little optimistic.

EDIT: Another question would be what's the time frame for this addition to GDP? 9% growth in one year is insanely great. 9% growth over ten years is insanely bad.

[0] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cities_by_GDP

Re:US Healthcare Is So Screwed I Fly to Britain for My Medication on Wednesday February 11, 2015 @01:46PM (#9034679)
Vox did something a while back that's more along those lines.[1]

The cost of care in the US is much higher than in other countries. There are a bunch of reasons for this, and everyone has their preferred scapegoats and solutions, but the end result is that healthcare prices in the US are astronomically higher than in other countries. So it's often cheaper to just go somewhere else and buy the care you need there at a fraction of the cost.

[1] http://www.vox.com/cards/health-prices/america-is-getting-go...

Re:16 Things on Thursday January 22, 2015 @06:37PM (#8932514)
Food suppliers, possibly restaurants.
I've never cared for a lawn in my life, so purely out of curiosity, why should a sprinkler system be on in the early morning? Wouldn't morning dew take care of watering grass around those hours?
> For the most part, this seems like a great initiative for adding transparency but ultimately highlights a non-issue (assuming further analysis doesn't change the story).

But of course, that's the best part about transparency.

It helps us figure out what are real issues and what are not.

Not that this is what you were saying, but that criticism applies to almost everyone in almost every legal system.

"If only Legal System X had more People Similar To Me That Agree With My Values, The World would be a better place."

It's arguably the driving sentiment behind representative democracy.

> Maybe they counted all dependencies or libraries.

This is really the only way I can imagine they got to that number.

Spring, a beastly enterprise Java codebase if ever there was one, is still "only" 460K lines of Java code according to cloc.

Re:US Nuclear Missile Silos Still Use Floppy Disks on Monday April 28, 2014 @11:39PM (#7664801)
If there's one situation where you definitely want to apply the rule "if it's not broke, don't fix it", it's probably nuclear missile silos.
Not without refueling somewhere. They didn't have enough gas to make it too far past Beijing. [0]

[0]- http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/interactive/2014/03/world/malays...

Re:Please reconsider the Boolean evaluation of midnight on Thursday March 06, 2014 @10:41AM (#7354309)
I prefer the second one.

Explicit is better than implicit.

Re:Response to "Math is Not Necessary for Software Development" on Wednesday January 22, 2014 @02:29PM (#7104781)
> It's not just a dramatic change; for most, it's a cliff thrown in the middle of the learning curve.

When I transferred to a new university I was placed in their first year calculus program over my own protests. I had already done AP Calculus in high school, and completed the first year calculus course at my previous college, which was admittedly of much lower quality than the university I was transferring to. I thought this new one would be a complete waste of my time.

The first thing we covered in this new course were limits. I rolled my eyes; everyone knows how to find a limit. Was this really the kind of thing we were going to cover in this class? Then the professor said these words I had never heard in relation to limits before, "epsilon" and "delta." And here my troubles began.

That turned out to be one of the hardest courses I've ever taken, I had to relearn almost everything I thought I knew about math.

Re:Using deep learning to listen for whales on Friday January 10, 2014 @12:37PM (#7037983)
I know very little of this competition, but it's possible that's a case of a non-representative training set rather than overfitting.

Learning fluent English doesn't teach you Portuguese.

This sounds like a great offering for an unlocked smartphone. I'm personally in the market for a cheap, unlocked smartphone, and if this is as good as the reviews sound, I'll probably buy one straight away.

But I think the real test for this phone's market share will be the subsidized price that carriers offer it at, which would have to be substantially lower than current subsidized flagship smartphones. I don't think most smartphone consumers value unlocked phones enough that they would pay a similar amount for one as they would pay for a subsidized iPhone 5S. A subsidized 5C would still be even cheaper than the unlocked Moto G.

A subsidized $50 Moto G vs. a subsidized $100 iPhone 5C though? I could definitely see that taking off.

Re:Bitcoin - A Primer [pdf] on Thursday November 07, 2013 @03:01PM (#6692015)
There's a reason I used the word "ostensibly."
Re:Bitcoin - A Primer [pdf] on Thursday November 07, 2013 @01:57PM (#6691560)
Ostensibly the goal of all government intervention in financial systems is to make them more transparent and secure.

Whether or not they accomplish those goals is obviously a matter of serious debate, but Velde's reasoning there is consistent with all other arguments for government intervention.

There's no point in trying to spin that statement into him giving the traditional banking system a pass.

Re:HealthCare.gov’s head tech guy is out on Wednesday November 06, 2013 @06:19PM (#6686296)
I'm not going to comment on the blogs vs. real journalism debate, but I'd say Wonkblog is probably one of the best American political blogs running today.

Politics is such a polarizing and passionate issue that these blogs easily gain readership among people who already agree with their political agenda. It's incredibly easy to start a political blog that is purely speculation, vitriol, or outright lies. A lot of political blogs even devote themselves to minutiae like dissecting every single word out of Senator John Doe's mouth to advance some ridiculous pre-formulated conclusion -- "Senator Doe ate French Fries! Clearly he hates America!"

Wonkblog does none of those things, often posting only about actual reports or expert's interviews. It's both rare and relieving to see a political blog that at least attempts to stick to non-partisanship.

Even here you can see that they aren't declaring this event to be any bigger than it is. The guy who oversaw healthcare.gov resigned, here's his resume, here's what he's doing, here's what the CMS said about it. The end.

Re:Chromebook Developer Setup Guide on Monday October 07, 2013 @12:32PM (#6509354)
With crouton, there are very few Linux apps that you can't run on a Chromebook. While I haven't tried it with SublimeText, I have run Eclipse on my Chromebook. It's not the smoothest experience, but it can get the job done.

So far, Arduino and IntelliJ are the only apps that I haven't gotten working on my Chromebook. The former relies on some x86 libraries that obviously won't work on an ARM processor, and the latter prefers the Oracle JVM which is just too much of a pain for me to set up when OpenJDK and Eclipse work well enough. I've also had some issues with my VPN (IPSec Xauth PSK).

I probably wouldn't recommend a Chromebook as a full time development machine, but it can certainly be done better than just a fancy SSH terminal. It's served me well enough when I've needed to work on the road. It's the best traveling laptop I've ever owned.

Re:Excess Automobile Deaths as a Result of 9/11 on Monday September 09, 2013 @01:24PM (#6354766)
Probably not much.

Motion sickness is mostly caused by your brain trying to resolve opposing signals between your eyes and your sense of motion. If you're looking at a non-moving scene like a screen in the car, but everything else in your body says you're moving at 60 MPH, you might get motion sickness.

A gimbal-mounted seat would change how often you bumped around, but your vestibular system would still sense things like going up/down a hill or making a turn.

Basically, a gimbal-mounted seat would be about as effective as a perfectly paved road.

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