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EDIT: The original statement was to the effect of "if a company thinks it's safe => it fails".
Gosh, that's a sweeping statement. It's a nice little sound-bite, but do you actually believe it?
The real problem with your statement is that it's a tautology: if a company thinks it's safe, it fails. Since we can assume that all companies fail eventually (with maybe a few outliers) it's right to think that your statement is true for all companies who think they're safe at any point, and doesn't apply to companies who do not think they're safe (whether or not they fail).