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Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @05:35AM (#15079933)
What is it with Madsen that gets people to come up with conspiracy theories about the woman involved?

Really, this is getting annoying. Just the other day someone came up with the absolutely brilliant theory that she must have been stealing submarine secrets for the Chinese or something to that effect and now this.

Did you notice that (1) he lied about having dropped her off, (2) he sank his sub on purpose claiming it was accidental and (3) he said she died in an accident and (4) he claimed he buried her at sea?

So far only (4) seems to be somewhat truthful, he forgot to mention he butchered her first.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jlouis on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:01AM (#15080366)
The key problem with a conspiracy theory is that it doesn't hold against Occam's Razor. Everything points to a story by PM which doesn't hold up.

The police have, rightly so, only given somewhat sparse information through the press. PM is currently, to my knowledge, allowed to read newspapers, and there is little reason to give a suspect a chance at information. It is highly likely they have way more information than what they are divulging.

The information they do give is to de-mystify a case which is already so crazy bonkers that even a good novelist couldn't have cooked it up. It is simply too implausible.

Everything points to murder. And I don't think there will be less stuff pointing to murder over the next couple of days or weeks.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by arjie on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @05:55AM (#15080031)
Reminds me of freereiser.org and the other nonsense surrounding the Hans Reiser trial.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by 0xFFC on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:56AM (#15080688)
Did you read my comment at all?

That was not what I told at all. I am clearly saying maybe she was onto something and that could be the reason she is dead. (If the murder is related to her job)

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:57AM (#15080695)
> Did you read my comment at all?

It was one line.

> I am clearly saying maybe she was onto something and that could be the reason she is dead.

Yes, that is the bit that I object to. She is most likely dead because something Madsen did or tried to do to her before she got done in entirely, and it has nothing to do with the last story she worked on. So forget about bringing the Mafia, the Russians and Cartels into it.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by auggierose on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:11AM (#15080100)
You only sink your submarine (!) for a pretty serious reason. The only serious reason that comes to mind in this case (besides maybe insurance fraught) is murder.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:15AM (#15080123)
> fraught

You meant to write 'fraud'. Fraught is a synonym for 'to be full of' or 'distressed'.

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Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:13AM (#15080108)
Early on in the Reiser case there was at least some room for doubt because there were a lot of unknowns, however once the facts that came out pointed fairly uniformly at Reiser having killed his wife most of that evaporated.

Here there is very little room for such creativity, the amount of contorting one would have to do in order not to conclude that Madsen killed Kim Wall is speaking volumes about those attempting it.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by matt4077 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:34AM (#15080202)
Top comment on slashdot for the article "Hans Reiser Guilty of First Degree Murder":

    US jury system does it again

    by QuantumG ( 50515 ) * <[email protected]> on Monday April 28, 2008 @07:34PM (#23231238)

    No evidence? No body? No murder weapon? Who cares! The 
    prosecutor used Power Point in his closing.. The 
    defendant is "weird".

    Oh well, maybe Hans will confess and reveal where he      
    stashed the body now."
(https://yro.slashdot.org/story/08/04/28/2243232/hans-reiser-...)

Edit: even sorted by "insightful", this thread is a nightmare:

by garcia ( 6573 )

    While I could definitely see why he would kill that   
    thieving bitch of a ex-wife of his, I don't think they 
    proved beyond a reasonable doubt that he definitely 
    killed her.
by dgatwood ( 11270 )

    typical jury is a group of 12 people hand-picked by the
    lawyers to be the most easily emotionally manipulated 
    people possible. You were expecting them to come to a 
    conclusion based on logic?
Let's throw in some completely random racism:

by OMNIpotusCOM

    I'm sorry, but that's ridiculous. 
    Last I knew you had to prove that he planned to kill 
    someone with a first degree murder charge. If you can't
    prove she's dead, and nobody saw her die, and there's no
    evidence that she's anywhere other than where he says,
    you can't convict a person of first degree murder.

    Can you imagine what would happen if this guy was black?
by MBCook ( 132727 ) <[email protected]>:

    No kidding. I would really like to see a poll of the 
    jury members, and if they would change their votes if 
    they had been told that Hans's ex-friend (the wife's new
    dude) had confessed to killing 8 people.

    Some facts are prejudicial.

    Some facts are prejudicial for a very good reason.

    I'd like to see numbers on how that would have changed things.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:40AM (#15080237)
> Oh well, maybe Hans will confess and reveal where he stashed the body now.

He eventually did. It would have saved a lot of time and grief if he had done it earlier.

Way too many parallels with this case.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jamespo on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:45AM (#15080613)
As I recall some Reiser defenders at the time said it "wasn't fair" the government forced him to do that as part of a plea bargain
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:49AM (#15080648)
Utterly ridiculous.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by anotherbrownguy on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:47AM (#15080278)
If she was murdered investigating Russian Mafia, how does it suggest that the investigator is the real problem? That would suggest that Russian Mafia is the problem, wouldn't it?
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by pvaldes on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:14AM (#15080424)
> What is it with Madsen

Let me feed your curiosity. The anwer is: Nothing. This is a interesting problem to eval from a purely intellectual point of view.

In a early phase of the analysis ALL ideas are important. This is similar in many aspects to trying to catch a bug in a program that starts to do unusual things. You could work serially just picking the simpler explanation and stop here, or you could instead make a list of all possibilities and check it against the facts, discarding some and keeping other until the real cause is revealed. There is nothing wrong with it.

The difference is that when debugging a program nobody things "this variable is ugly and evil, so the other variables linked with it must be passing good values". You need to check it. The problem can be (and often is) in the interaction between two functions.

Updating the case, we have a obvious murder. We have a dismembered corpse that explain the "need to sink the submarine", we know were, and probably who. We have a fair good picture of the problem, but we don't know still why. We need to understand the interaction.

Of course there must be a reason and I bet that will be very obvious when revealed... most lose ends are now in the post-murder phase. How the corpse arrived to that beach for example.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by pvaldes on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:04AM (#15080389)
> Just the other day someone came up with the absolutely brilliant theory that she must have been stealing submarine secrets for the Chinese

It was me in fact. Please notice that you are wrong. I never said 'must have been', I said 'may have been' or 'could have been'. There is a planetary distance among both statements.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:13AM (#15080417)
Here is the relevant section of your comment:

"The man loves with passion other thing; His work. Maybe she did something that was seen as a menace against the other love of his life, his submarine. Maybe she poke around and tried to sneak/photograph/open/discover some parts of the engine with the purpose to earn some bucks selling the submarine secrets when returning to China. I'm speculating of course, but unless he was drunk or drugged (unprobable while driving a sub), or both where flirting for months by e-mail and he feels cheated, there should be a solid reason for she being 'punished' with death. This is not a random act IMAO."[1]

> Please notice that you are wrong. I never said 'must have been', I said 'may have been' or 'could have been'.

You can hide behind weasel words all you want but the fact of the matter is that you were positing all kinds of ridiculous explanations for a situation where a simple one would suffice. That's about as clear an example of conspiracy nuttiness as I've seen since the Reiser trial referenced elsewhere in this thread.

What 'may have been' or 'could have been' still has to be remotely plausible to be considered and it really wasn't.

So if you feel that your use of the word 'maybe' gives you license to throw up all kinds of flak feel free, in the meantime realize that it does nothing to establish credibility and in fact probably achieves the opposite.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15068088

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by pvaldes on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:44AM (#15080606)
Hypothesis:

A proposition, or set of propositions, set forth as an explanation for the occurrence of some specified group of phenomena, can be asserted merely as a provisional conjecture to guide investigation (working hypothesis)

Speculation:

The contemplation or consideration of some subject. Conjectural consideration of a matter; conjecture or surmise

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by scarmig on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @05:19AM (#15079844)
There's a fair chance he raped her and then murdered her. Much more common and less glamorous than Russian mobsters taking out someone about to break the big story.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by tyingq on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:33AM (#15080944)
He was apparently very contentious about the submarine and his history with others involved in it as well.

I could see an escalating scenario where she, as a reporter would, started questioning around that topic. She hits the right buttons, and he loses it and injures her badly enough that he now has to make a decision.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by pvaldes on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @12:12PM (#15082703)
Sounds like a reasonable hypothesis to me, taking in mind the many sources talking about his short-tempered character.
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by pvaldes on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:06AM (#15082046)
Fortunately glamour or statistics are not relevant in justice, only truth and proven facts. At the current moment there is zero data available supporting the mobster hypothesis... but also zero data (unless policemen know something more) supporting the hypothesis of a sexual crime or a rape.

Is a murder, pretty obviously, but the reason of the murder is unclosed still. All possibilities are open.

Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by nippples on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @05:29AM (#15079889)
Looking at her article history in The Guardian, it doesn't seem likely at all: https://www.theguardian.com/profile/kim-wall
Re:Kim Wall: Headless body identified as missing journalist by Ensorceled on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:03AM (#15080379)
I think she was doing a follow-up piece on an old crowdfunded submarine story ...